Nayib Bukeles Landslide Win In Bitcoin Country Fraught With New And Old Challenges

Having solidified his political legacy by effectively addressing the issue of gang violence in El Salvador, Nayib Bukele has not only secured an extraordinary second presidential mandate but has also propelled his New Idea Party to a resounding victory in the legislative realm. Bukele's historic triumph in the presidential race saw him clinch an impressive 83% of the vote, a margin widely considered unprecedented, reaching as high as 76% in the context of open and free elections within modern democracies. During his campaign, Bukele had to temporarily step away from the presidency, having obtained a special permit to run as a candidate.

纳伊布·布克莱通过有效解决萨尔瓦多的帮派暴力问题巩固了自己的政治遗产，不仅获得了非凡的第二次总统任期，而且还推动他的新思想党在立法领域取得了彻底的胜利。布克尔在总统竞选中取得了历史性的胜利，获得了令人印象深刻的 83% 的选票，这一差距被广泛认为是前所未有的，在现代民主国家公开和自由选举的背景下，他的得票率高达 76%。在竞选期间，布克莱在获得了以候选人身份参选的特别许可后，不得不暂时辞去总统职务。

The elections, observed by various international organizations, have been universally acknowledged as free, fair, and open, with no significant irregularities reported. Governments worldwide, including the United States, have recognized the results and congratulated Bukele on his resounding victory.

各国际组织观察到的这次选举被普遍认为是自由、公平和公开的，没有发现重大违规行为。包括美国在内的世界各国政府都认可了这一结果，并祝贺布克莱取得了压倒性的胜利。

The Supreme Electoral Tribunal of El Salvador, responsible for overseeing the election, has confirmed that, with over 70% of the votes already counted, Bukele's victory is assured and renders any competitive outcome by his closest opponent insurmountable. This electoral success extends beyond the presidential sphere, as Bukele's New Idea Party has also secured at least 54 out of the 60 seats in the Legislative Assembly, further consolidating his political influence.

负责监督选举的萨尔瓦多最高选举法庭确认，由于超过 70% 的选票已经清点，布克莱的胜利已成定局，这使得他最接近的对手的任何竞争结果都难以逾越。这次选举的成功超出了总统范围，布克莱的新思想党也获得了立法议会 60 个席位中的至少 54 个席位，进一步巩固了他的政治影响力。

As Bukele embarks on this new chapter, he faces the hard challenge of steering El Salvador toward economic prosperity, a task intricately tied to the significant agenda of Bitcoin adoption within his government. However, it is crucial to recognize the intricate difficulties he will encounter in navigating the complexities of leadership following such a resounding electoral triumph. With a clear mandate from the people and a dominant position in the legislative landscape, Bukele is poised to enact ambitious policies and reforms, yet the expectations and challenges accompanying such a mandate are equally tough.

当布克莱开启新篇章时，他面临着引导萨尔瓦多走向经济繁荣的艰巨挑战，这项任务与政府内部采用比特币的重要议程密切相关。然而，至关重要的是要认识到，在取得如此巨大的选举胜利后，他在处理领导层的复杂性时将遇到复杂的困难。凭借人民的明确授权和在立法领域的主导地位，布克莱准备实施雄心勃勃的政策和改革，但伴随这一授权的期望和挑战同样严峻。

Economic Stagnation and Priorities

经济停滞和优先事项

Despite the resounding electoral victory, President-elect Nayib Bukele has been tasked by his electorate to lift El Salvador from its relative economic stagnation. While Bitcoin adoption may play a role in the solution, it is unlikely to be his top priority at this juncture. The immediate focus is on addressing economic challenges and providing Salvadorans with upward mobility, creating an environment that discourages criminality as a viable option.

尽管取得了巨大的选举胜利，当选总统纳伊布·布克莱仍被选民赋予了让萨尔瓦多摆脱相对经济停滞的任务。虽然采用比特币可能会在解决方案中发挥作用，但目前这不太可能成为他的首要任务。当前的重点是解决经济挑战并为萨尔瓦多人提供向上流动性，创造一个阻止犯罪的环境作为可行的选择。

It was impossible to tackle economic problems while the looming threat of gang violence and insecurity persisted. Bukele recognized that sustainable economic progress required addressing the root causes of crime and insecurity, laying the foundation for broader prosperity.

当帮派暴力和不安全的迫在眉睫的威胁持续存在时，解决经济问题是不可能的。布克莱认识到，可持续的经济进步需要解决犯罪和不安全的根源，为更广泛的繁荣奠定基础。

However, it is crucial to acknowledge that El Salvador has already progressed. Notably, the country's favorable digital laws have attracted significant players like Google, signaling a positive environment for digital operations. Companies like Strike, Bitfinex, and Volcano Energy operate within El Salvador's bitcoin-friendly landscape, contributing to the country's economic diversification.

然而，至关重要的是要承认萨尔瓦多已经取得了进展。值得注意的是，该国有利的数字法律吸引了谷歌等重要参与者，这预示着数字运营的积极环境。 strike、bitfinex 和 volcano energy 等公司在萨尔瓦多的比特币友好环境中运营，为该国的经济多元化做出了贡献。

Beyond the business landscape, visible improvements are evident in various public works initiatives. Projects like the subterranean electrical cable initiatives, new roads, bypasses, and the construction of a new national library, showcase the government's commitment to infrastructural development. The surge in tourism, with El Salvador ranking as the 5th best-performing tourist destination globally in 2023, reflects the positive momentum.

除了商业环境之外，各种公共工程举措也取得了明显的改善。地下电缆倡议、新道路、绕道和建设新国家图书馆等项目展示了政府对基础设施发展的承诺。旅游业的激增反映了积极的势头，萨尔瓦多在 2023 年全球表现最佳的旅游目的地中排名第五。

However, the challenge lies in ensuring that this prosperity extends to and significantly improves the quality of life for most Salvadorans. While progress is evident, the emphasis must now shift towards ensuring that most Salvadorans have the opportunity to uplift their communities and address socio-economic disparities, ensuring that the benefits of El Salvador's economic transformation reach every corner of the nation.

然而，挑战在于确保这种繁荣延伸到并显着改善大多数萨尔瓦多人的生活质量。虽然进展是显而易见的，但现在的重点必须转向确保大多数萨尔瓦多人有机会改善他们的社区并解决社会经济差距，确保萨尔瓦多经济转型的好处惠及国家的每个角落。

Security Concerns and Lasting Solutions

安全问题和持久解决方案

Bukele's second term will be marked by the need to consolidate and make permanent the strides achieved in addressing security concerns during his first term. His resounding electoral victory can be seen as a public endorsement, a referendum on the effectiveness of his government's efforts in tackling the pervasive issue of insecurity. The challenge now lies in sustaining these improvements and delving deeper into the root causes of criminality.

布克莱第二个任期的特点是需要巩固并永久化他第一个任期内在解决安全问题方面取得的进展。他的压倒性选举胜利可以被视为公众的认可，是对其政府解决普遍不安全问题的努力有效性的全民公投。现在的挑战在于维持这些改进并更深入地研究犯罪的根源。

Central to Bukele's approach is not just punitive measures but a comprehensive strategy that includes rehabilitation and addressing the socio-economic factors contributing to crime. His “Zero Idleness” program within the incarceration system is a notable initiative. This program focuses on rehabilitating inmates who have demonstrated trustworthiness and good behavior, preparing them for reintegration into society. However, sustaining this progress requires ongoing support systems and opportunities to ensure these individuals can maintain law-abiding behavior post-incarceration.

布克莱方法的核心不仅仅是惩罚措施，而是一项综合战略，其中包括康复和解决导致犯罪的社会经济因素。他在监禁系统内的“零闲置”计划是一项值得注意的举措。该计划的重点是让那些表现出值得信赖和良好行为的囚犯康复，为他们重新融入社会做好准备。然而，维持这一进展需要持续的支持系统和机会，以确保这些人在监禁后能够保持守法行为。

While Bukele has acknowledged the link between poverty and crime, the challenge is problematic. His winning speech and previous press conferences highlighted the importance of addressing poverty and recognizing its role in incentivizing criminal activities. However, translating this acknowledgment into tangible changes within a five-year term requires strategic planning and implementation.

虽然布克莱承认贫困与犯罪之间的联系，但挑战是有问题的。他的获奖演讲和之前的新闻发布会强调了解决贫困问题并认识到贫困在激励犯罪活动中的作用的重要性。然而，要在五年内将这种认识转化为切实的变化，需要战略规划和实施。

One aspect to consider is providing alternatives to the high-time preference for easy money through crime. Bukele's government may need to focus on creating opportunities for economic growth, job creation, and skill development, particularly in areas heavily affected by poverty and crime. By offering viable alternatives, the government can shift the incentive structure, making it more attractive for individuals to pursue legitimate means of earning a livelihood.

需要考虑的一个方面是提供替代方案，以替代通过犯罪轻松赚钱的高时期偏好。布克莱政府可能需要集中精力创造经济增长、创造就业和技能发展的机会，特别是在受贫困和犯罪严重影响的地区。通过提供可行的替代方案，政府可以改变激励结构，使个人更有吸引力追求合法的谋生手段。

Demonstrating Gains from Bitcoin Adoption

展示比特币采用的收益

While the successes in addressing security concerns and investing in infrastructure have undoubtedly benefited El Salvador, the challenge now extends to showcasing the tangible gains from Bitcoin adoption. Despite the positive impact on security and public works, El Salvador currently grapples with the lowest-performing GDP in the Central American region. Bukele has candidly acknowledged the economic constraints faced by the country in his winning speech, emphasizing the limited natural resources, dependence on food imports, and vulnerabilities exposed during last year's transportation blockade from unions and indigenous groups in Guatemala and Panama respectively.

虽然解决安全问题和投资基础设施方面的成功无疑使萨尔瓦多受益，但现在的挑战扩展到展示比特币采用所带来的切实收益。尽管对安全和公共工程产生了积极影响，萨尔瓦多目前仍处于中美洲地区国内生产总值表现最低的水平。布克莱在获奖演讲中坦率地承认了该国面临的经济限制，强调了有限的自然资源、对粮食进口的依赖以及去年危地马拉和巴拿马工会和土著群体分别实施的交通封锁中暴露出的脆弱性。

In the face of these challenges, demonstrating macroeconomic gains becomes intricate, requiring a nuanced approach to gauge the success of Bitcoin adoption. El Salvador, a small country with limited resources, must strategically leverage its strengths to create economic opportunities. Bukele's recognition of the significance of the tech and Bitcoin industry as a cornerstone of the nation's economic growth aligns with this strategy.

面对这些挑战，展示宏观经济收益变得复杂，需要采取细致入微的方法来衡量比特币采用的成功与否。萨尔瓦多是一个资源有限的小国，必须战略性地利用其优势创造经济机会。布克莱认识到科技和比特币行业作为国家经济增长基石的重要性，这与这一战略是一致的。

While GDP is not the sole metric for economic success, it remains a key indicator, and addressing its shortcomings is imperative. To alleviate concerns, Bukele's government must focus on attracting and facilitating strategic partnerships with global corporations, as seen with Nestle and Unilever. After decades of hiatus, Nestle's renewed commitment to purchasing specialty coffee from El Salvador and Unilever's expanded operations exemplify the potential for such collaborations to stabilize and boost key industries.

虽然gdp并不是衡量经济成功的唯一指标，但它仍然是一个关键指标，解决其缺点势在必行。为了缓解担忧，布克莱政府必须集中精力吸引和促进与跨国公司的战略合作伙伴关系，正如雀巢和联合利华的例子。经过几十年的中断后，雀巢重新承诺从萨尔瓦多采购精品咖啡，而联合利华扩大业务，都体现了此类合作稳定和促进关键行业的潜力。

The ambitious Bitcoin City project is a pivotal aspect of El Salvador's economic transformation. Bitcoiners, who are closely monitoring the country's efforts, anticipate the development of Bitcoin City and how Bukele navigates potential controversies. Here, challenges may emerge, especially concerning libertarian and Bitcoin maximalist expectations, as the government may need to exert its authority in acquiring land and ensuring private property rights are aligned with the project's objectives.

雄心勃勃的比特币城项目是萨尔瓦多经济转型的关键方面。密切关注该国努力的比特币爱好者预计比特币城的发展以及布克莱如何应对潜在的争议。在这里，可能会出现挑战，特别是在自由主义和比特币最大化期望方面，因为政府可能需要在获取土地和确保私有产权与项目目标保持一致方面发挥其权威。

As El Salvador positions itself as a hub for the tech and Bitcoin industry, the government's commitment to balancing progress with respect for individual rights becomes paramount. Success in this venture hinges on attracting foreign investments, fostering a conducive business environment, and managing the expectations of stakeholders and Bitcoiners. El Salvador's economic fate is undeniably tied to the success of innovative initiatives, and Bukele's government must tread carefully to ensure the project's success benefits Salvadorans while navigating the complexities of both domestic and international economic landscapes.

由于萨尔瓦多将自己定位为科技和比特币行业的中心，政府致力于平衡进步与尊重个人权利变得至关重要。该企业的成功取决于吸引外国投资、培育有利的商业环境以及管理利益相关者和比特币持有者的期望。无可否认，萨尔瓦多的经济命运与创新举措的成功息息相关，布克莱政府必须谨慎行事，确保该项目的成功造福萨尔瓦多人民，同时应对国内和国际经济形势的复杂性。

Foreign Investment and Property Ownership

外国投资和财产所有权

Another tricky area to navigate as part of Bukele's economic strategy will be balancing the delicate balance between attracting foreign investment and empowering local Salvadorans. Bukele will need to recognize the importance of ensuring that Salvadorans have access to opportunities for property ownership, especially as Bitcoin immigrants seek to make El Salvador their new or second home. Depending on how Bukele addresses this reality, the solutions to ensuring Salvadoran property rights may not entirely align with the principles of the particular perceived Bitcoin ethos. Striking this balance becomes even more complex when considering potential concerns for libertarians and proponents of small government, who will resent government intervention in setting property market rules and regulations.

作为布克莱经济战略的一部分，另一个棘手的领域是平衡吸引外国投资和赋予当地萨尔瓦多人权力之间的微妙平衡。布克莱需要认识到确保萨尔瓦多人获得财产所有权机会的重要性，特别是当比特币移民寻求将萨尔瓦多作为他们的新家或第二故乡时。根据布克莱如何解决这一现实，确保萨尔瓦多产权的解决方案可能并不完全符合特定的比特币精神的原则。当考虑到自由主义者和小政府支持者的潜在担忧时，实现这种平衡变得更加复杂，他们会憎恨政府干预制定房地产市场规则和法规。

To truly leverage foreign investment for the benefit of the local population, Bukele's government acknowledges the need to invest in training programs that equip Salvadorans to capitalize on the potential of new companies in the country. Accelerated education frameworks, particularly in English, become crucial, as proficiency in this language significantly enhances employment and income prospects. Recognizing this, the government must move to implement initiatives that foster English language skills among the local workforce.

为了真正利用外国投资造福当地居民，布克莱政府承认需要投资培训项目，使萨尔瓦多人能够利用该国新公司的潜力。加速教育框架，特别是英语教育框架变得至关重要，因为熟练掌握这种语言可以显着改善就业和收入前景。认识到这一点，政府必须采取行动，实施培养当地劳动力英语语言技能的举措。

However, it's essential to tread carefully in this endeavor. While the advantages of English proficiency are clear, El Salvador's official language is Spanish. Bitcoiners and expats eyeing the country for residency and business opportunities must respect and adapt to El Salvador's linguistic sovereignty. Moreover, Spanish is already an asset to individuals, as Latin America, with its growing popularity in the Bitcoin landscape and Argentina's Bitcoin-friendly approach, presents a significant growth opportunity.

然而，在这一过程中必须谨慎行事。虽然英语水平的优势很明显，但萨尔瓦多的官方语言是西班牙语。关注萨尔瓦多居住和商业机会的比特币持有者和外籍人士必须尊重并适应萨尔瓦多的语言主权。此外，西班牙语已经成为个人的资产，因为拉丁美洲在比特币领域越来越受欢迎，加上阿根廷对比特币友好的态度，提供了巨大的增长机会。

The integration of expats into Salvadoran society adds an interesting social dimension to the economic strategy. Unlike the experience in Costa Rica, where expats often create separate communities, Bukele must aim to foster a more integrated approach. To address potential challenges, such as local population resentment or gentrification, Bukele may opt for solutions that differ from the expectations of Bitcoin libertarians.

外籍人士融入萨尔瓦多社会为经济战略增添了有趣的社会维度。与哥斯达黎加的经验不同，在哥斯达黎加，外籍人士经常创建独立的社区，布克莱必须致力于培养一种更加一体化的方法。为了解决潜在的挑战，例如当地居民的不满或中产阶级化，布克莱可能会选择与比特币自由主义者期望不同的解决方案。

One potential strategy involves the development of social and affordable housing initiatives. By providing dignified homes for local Salvadorans adjacent to Bitcoin expat communities, Bukele must mitigate the impact of rising property prices and access to property for locals. This approach may differ from the expat enclaves seen elsewhere, as the focus remains on shared communities that benefit locals and newcomers.

一项潜在的战略涉及制定社会住房和经济适用住房计划。通过为毗邻比特币外籍人士社区的当地萨尔瓦多人提供有尊严的住宅，布克莱必须减轻房价上涨和当地人获得房产的影响。这种方法可能与其他地方看到的外籍人士飞地不同，因为重点仍然是有利于当地人和新移民的共享社区。

Ending the State of Exception

结束例外状态

The decision to end the state of exception, temporarily suspending certain freedoms, must hinge on permanently addressing security issues. Salvadorans approve of this measure because this tool has prevented a catch-and-release approach with violent criminals and allows the authorities to properly process them. The challenge for Bukele lies in balancing the imperative of national security with the preservation of individual freedoms, which demands careful navigation to avoid compromising the hard-won progress in security.

结束例外状态、暂时中止某些自由的决定必须取决于永久解决安全问题。萨尔瓦多人赞成这一措施，因为这一工具防止了对暴力犯罪分子的抓捕和释放，并允许当局妥善处理他们。布克莱面临的挑战在于平衡国家安全的必要性与保护个人自由，这需要谨慎行事，以避免损害来之不易的安全进展。

Addressing the backlog of cases within the judiciary is imperative before the State of Exception can end. The timely investigation, proper charging, fair trials, and appropriate sentencing of perpetrators are essential in any independent justice system. This back-log and the catch-and-release policies were a legacy of the previous administration, which had made the problem of gangs worse, not better for the country. While it is important to ensure that those who are innocent are swiftly acquitted and set free, underscoring the principles of justice and due process, this principle was abused and used as a tool for criminality and the harming of innocent victims rather than ensuring the rights of the wrongly arrested.

在例外状态结束之前，必须解决司法部门积压的案件。对肇事者进行及时调查、适当指控、公平审判和适当量刑对于任何独立的司法系统都是至关重要的。这种积压的案件和抓捕后释放的政策是上届政府的遗产，这使帮派问题变得更糟，而不是为国家带来好处。虽然确保无辜者迅速被无罪释放并获得自由非常重要，这强调了正义和正当程序原则，但这一原则被滥用并被用作犯罪和伤害无辜受害者的工具，而不是确保受害者的权利。被错误逮捕的人。

Bukele has emphasized the inherent fallibility of any system, including El Salvador's. His leadership in implementing bold measures to combat crime, albeit controversial, has yielded tangible results, transforming the nation from the “murder capital of the world” to one of the safest countries in the Western Hemisphere. Despite criticism from various quarters, including mainstream media, NGOs, and foreign governments, Bukele remains steadfast in his commitment to safeguarding the safety and security of Salvadorans.

布克莱强调任何制度都存在固有的错误，包括萨尔瓦多的制度。他在实施大胆措施打击犯罪方面的领导，尽管存在争议，但已经取得了切实成果，使该国从“世界谋杀之都”转变为西半球最安全的国家之一。尽管受到主流媒体、非政府组织和外国政府等各方的批评，布克莱仍然坚定地致力于维护萨尔瓦多人的安全。

In this context, the importance of maintaining the gains achieved cannot be overstated. Bukele's government must resist external pressures and adhere to its strategic course, recognizing that freedom and property rights are meaningless without the assurance of safety within the nation's borders. El Salvador's journey towards sustained security and prosperity requires resolute leadership and a steadfast commitment to preserving the hard-won gains of recent years.

在此背景下，维持已取得成果的重要性怎么强调也不为过。布克莱政府必须抵制外部压力，坚持其战略方针，认识到如果没有国家境内安全的保证，自由和财产权就毫无意义。萨尔瓦多走向持续安全和繁荣的征程需要坚定的领导和坚定的承诺，以维护近年来来之不易的成果。

Managing Expectations

管理期望

In the pursuit of economic revitalization and Bitcoin adoption, Bukele may not be able to satisfy every ideal on the Bitcoiner's wishlist. It is essential to recognize that El Salvador's government is focused on rescuing the nation from centuries of dysfunction rather than adhering strictly to a set of preferred laws and policies.

在追求经济复兴和比特币采用的过程中，布克莱可能无法满足比特币爱好者愿望清单上的每一个理想。必须认识到，萨尔瓦多政府的重点是使国家摆脱几个世纪以来的功能障碍，而不是严格遵守一套首选的法律和政策。

With such a strong mandate and an essential hegemony in both the executive and legislative branches, Bukele, his government, and his team of Legislative Assembly Deputies will also need to fight off the temptation of corruption, lack of transparency, and complacency. Without effective opposition, being self-critical and humble will be crucial to maintaining good governance and ensuring continued progress.

有了如此强大的授权以及在行政和立法部门的重要霸权，布克莱、他的政府和他的立法议会代表团队还需要抵制腐败、缺乏透明度和自满的诱惑。如果没有有效的反对，自我批评和谦虚对于维持良好治理和确保持续进步至关重要。

As El Salvador embarks on this historic journey, President Bukele faces multifaceted challenges. While Bitcoin adoption is a key component, addressing economic issues and security concerns and striking a balance between local empowerment and foreign investment is critical. Bukele's success will not only be measured by the fulfillment of Bitcoiners expectations but also by the tangible improvements in the lives of Salvadorans and the nation's overall prosperity. The absence of a robust opposition demands heightened vigilance and introspection within the government, reinforcing the importance of ethical leadership, transparency, and a commitment to the well-being of the people.

在萨尔瓦多踏上这一历史性征程时，布克莱总统面临着多方面的挑战。虽然比特币的采用是一个关键组成部分，但解决经济问题和安全问题以及在当地赋权和外国投资之间取得平衡也至关重要。布克莱的成功不仅取决于比特币支持者期望的实现，还取决于萨尔瓦多人生活的切实改善和国家的整体繁荣。由于缺乏强有力的反对派，政府内部需要提高警惕和反省，从而强化道德领导力、透明度和对人民福祉的承诺的重要性。

This is a guest post by Jaime Garcia. Opinions expressed are entirely their own and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.

这是海梅·加西亚 (jaime garcia) 的客座帖子。所表达的观点完全是他们自己的，并不一定反映 btc inc 或比特币杂志的观点。