Dan Ives Says Nvidia Fuels AI Market, But What If It Has a Lehman Moment?

Nvidia (NVDA) reached a record $5.78 trillion intraday market value on Monday, and tech analyst Dan Ives says Wall Streets numbers for the chipmaker are probably 25% to 30% too low.  Yet Nvidia, the artificial intelligence (AI) bellwether, leads 10 stocks that make up about 39% of the S&P 500. A stumble could reach well beyond chip investors.  Sponsored  Sponsored  How Strong Is the Bull Case for Nvidia?  Ives is a partner and senior managing director at merchant bank Yorkville Ives & Co. He told CNBCs Closing Bell that Asian checks show chip demand at 13 to 14 times supply.  “…its the one chip in the world fueling the AI revolution.”  Dan Ives, CNBC  Michael Burry, the investor behind The Big Short, disagrees. He holds Nvidia put options through September 2027 and says the AI bubble could burst early.  Sponsored  Sponsored  However, Singapore‘s DBS Group told Bloomberg Nvidia trades at 17 times forward earnings, versus Cisco’s 100 before the crash.  Could Nvidia Have Its Lehman Moment?  Lehman Brothers shows how one failure can freeze credit. Its $639 billion bankruptcy in September 2008 was then the largest one-day market loss.  Nvidia invests in customers that buy its chips. In August, it announced preliminary agreements with six financial firms for about $500 billion in customer financing,

کل 13:02انڈسٹری

Why Bitcoin Could Target $96.7K as On-Chain Money, Not Leverage, Leads the Rally

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around the $85,000 sell wall as leverage cools and new on-chain money arrives, according to Glassnode. That mix could put $96.7K in play.  The same report shows profit-taking running well above its normal range. Here is what each signal measures and what it implies for the path to $96.7K.  Sponsored  Sponsored  Why Did the $85K Bitcoin Sell Wall Matter?  A sell wall is a cluster of resting sell orders in one price zone. Buyers must absorb all of it before price can climb through.  Glassnode flagged one at $85,000 to $85,500 in its latest report. ETF inflows had faded and trading volume was low.  bitcoin:native trades near $86k after a Sunday rally lifted the weekly close about 2% higher. Derivatives positioning eased back into its normal range and ETF inflows cooled, while on-chain activity, new capital and profit-taking all run hot.https://t.co/cNfJRo49ej pic.twitter.com/b1tB2JT0lu  — glassnode (@glassnode) October 5, 2026  A week earlier, Glassnode named the next major resistance near $96.7K, the mean Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) price.  MVRV compares Bitcoin‘s market cap with the value of coins at the price they last moved. It works as a gauge of holders’ standing against their cost basis.  A Sunday rally on Oct. 4 lifted the weekly close about

کل 13:02انڈسٹری

Nike Is Down 47% But AI Agents Could Make Its Next Problem Worse

Nike shares have fallen 47% this year. Retail CEO Jan Kniffen says AI agents could steer shoppers away from legacy brands.  Nike already faces shrinking sales. Revenue fell 4% in the latest quarter, and the company guided to a high-single-digit drop this fiscal year. Now, AI‘s disruption continues to stretch into different area’s include a Wall Street powerhouse.  Sponsored  Sponsored  Who Controls the Shelf When AI Agents Do the Shopping?  Kniffen, CEO of J. Rogers Kniffen Worldwide Enterprises, appeared on CNBCs Power Lunch. He said AI agents will soon pick and buy products for shoppers.  A shopper who asks for running shoes, not Nike, may never see the brand first. Rivals such as Hoka or On could win on fit and price.  Meanwhile, the hosts questioned the idea, noting a wrong pick means a return and extra hassle.  However, Kniffen said inertia could shield brands, because many shoppers still ask for Nike by name.  Nike has not sat out the shift. ConsumerGoods reported in May that Nike planned to sell inside Googles Gemini chatbot and AI Mode search from June. Still, the agent could pick a rival.  Sponsored  Sponsored  Does Scale Win the Agent Era?  Kniffen argued that big players eventually win, as Amazon and Walmart did after the internet boom. He called

کل 13:02انڈسٹری

Dan Niles Backs Alphabet and Meta as Google Cloud Grows Over 80%

Dan Niles, founder of Niles Investment Management, says he still likes Alphabet and Meta Platforms. He cites Google Cloud growth above 80% and Metas Muse AI agent as Nvidia nears a $6 trillion valuation.  Nvidia set a record high on October 2, which shows how much investors will pay for AI chips. The harder question is who earns a return on the AI spending behind them.  Sponsored  Sponsored  Why Does Dan Niles Still Like Meta After the Rally?  Niles first flagged Meta on September 7, when the stock was down about 7% year to date, he said.  Meta has had a recent spike in its stock price. Image Source: Trading View  Meta launched Muse, an agent that browses the web and completes tasks for users, on September 8. Niles says the app now ranks above ChatGPT on the App Store.  Google, Microsoft, and Amazon already rent out AI computing power through public clouds. Meta, however, does not, and Niles sees a cloud arm as its next way to monetize AI spending.  He likes the stock less than in September after the run-up. Even so, he still sees momentum, and JPMorgans Meta price target rose to $920 from $820 last month.  Sponsored  Sponsored  Can Google Cloud Growth Outweigh the Search Worries?  Alphabet reported on

کل 13:02انڈسٹری

Benjamin Cowen Says Yields Could Fall After Midterms With a Potential Boost for Bitcoin

Analyst Benjamin Cowen expects the 10-year Treasury yield to peak before mid-November, after it touched 5.342% on October 1. That could ease pressure on Bitcoin (BTC) and other risk assets.  The reading was the highest since early 2002. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve (Fed) raised interest rates in September.  Sponsored  Sponsored  Why Does Benjamin Cowen See a Yield Peak Around the Fed Meeting?  Cowen said history supports his timing. Historically, the 10-year yield topped between early October and mid-November in 2018 and 2022, the last two midterm election years.  Yields then fell from mid-November through December in both years. However, Cowen concedes the pattern is not exact.  He had flagged 5% as a soft target. It has since overshot that level, and he says 5.4% to 5.6% remains possible.  He expects peak fear around the Feds October 28 meeting. Cowen said the odds of an October hike fell from 64% to 17.7% in a week.  In his reading, that drop is part of the problem. He argues yields are climbing partly because bond traders fear the Fed will tighten too little.  Sponsored  Sponsored  Cowen says the Fed can justify holding off by citing soft inflation and a soft labor market. The weak September jobs report showed just 29,000 new jobs.  A bad inflation report

کل 13:02انڈسٹری

Jeff Kilburg Backs 2 Tech Picks Even When They Trade Above Analyst Targets

CNBC contributor Jeff Kilburg is buying Fortinet and Cloudflare for the fourth quarter, though both trade above analyst targets. By his count, only Arista, his third pick, sits roughly 20% below its target.  The KKM Financial founder pitched the trio on CNBCs The Exchange as a way to profit from AI spending. He also conceded Cloudflare does not make money.  Why Buy Stocks Trading Above Analyst Targets?  Kilburg calls the trio a way to play AI spending without owning hyperscalers, the cloud giants buying the chips.  Sponsored  Sponsored  By contrast, Arista, which sells data center networking gear, is up about 58% this year, he said. He points to operating margins near 50% and says hyperscalers will not skimp on networking.  Fortinet, a cybersecurity vendor, is up 130% this year and trades at about 53 times projected earnings, he said. He already holds CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks, so Fortinet adds diversification rather than a new theme.  Cloudflare, which routes and secures internet traffic, trades above a $350 target, Kilburg said. He put its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio near 300. However, host Kelly Evans cited 246.  Evans likened the multiple to Netflix‘s early years, when that stock’s earnings also looked hard to defend.  Can 29% Earnings Growth Outweigh a 5.3% Yield?  Kilburgs

کل 13:02انڈسٹری

Coinbases Brian Armstrong Celebrates New Startups in Base

Brian Armstrong, CEO of Coinbase, recently congratulated the teams selected for Base Batch 004 in a tweet. He encouraged those who were not selected to continue building, reflecting on his own experiences with numerous startup ideas before the success of Coinbase. This statement emphasizes the importance of perseverance in the competitive startup ecosystem, especially in the crypto sector. You can view his tweet here.  The Story So Far  In the broader context of the cryptocurrency market, which is currently showing mixed signals, Armstrongs acknowledgment of new startups is a reminder of the ongoing innovation in the space. His comment highlights the importance of nurturing new ideas, especially as the market fluctuates. As companies and projects adapt, support for startups becomes increasingly vital in sustaining growth and innovation in the crypto landscape.  What We KnowCoinbase‘s Brian Armstrong congratulates teams chosen for Base Batch 004. He encourages others to keep building despite not being selected. Armstrong’s own journey includes trying about 10 different startup ideas before Coinbases success. The focus remains on the importance of perseverance in the startup ecosystem. This sentiment resonates with many in the crypto industry, especially during uncertain times.

کل 13:00

Bitcoin futures drop $1.4B, but spot buyers step in to help

Bitcoins aggregate futures exposure fell as recently active capital gained share through Oct. 4. Younger coin cohorts tend to spend more readily during volatility, so sustained buying remains the test of how readily the market can absorb active supply.  Related Asset Bitcoin #1 BTC · $85,595.44 24-hour change: up 0.03% Loading price history… 24H Up 0.03% 7D Up 2.98% 30D Up 7.11%  Glassnodes Oct. 5 Market Pulse reported futures open interest declining from $38 billion to $36.6 billion. Hot Capital Share rose from 18.9% to 19.5%, while the short-term-to-long-term holder supply ratio increased from 13.7% to 14.2%.  Bitcoin futures exposure declined as spot buying and short-term holder activity increased, though sustained demand remains unproven.  Open interest measures outstanding futures exposure, but assessing the vulnerability of those positions also requires information about account leverage and collateral.  Related Company Glassnode On-chain analytics platform  The remaining exposure was still near the upper edge of Glassnodes statistical range. Long-side funding payments rose from $926,400 to $1.5 million, showing that the contraction in open interest coexisted with stronger demand for bullish perpetual exposure.  How recent activity changes the risk picture  Glassnodes March 2025 Market Pulse glossary describes Hot Capital Share over a three-month window.  Separately, its realized-cap age-band methodology values coins at the price

کل 12:40انڈسٹری

Rain seeks US trust bank charter days after OCC sued over crypto charters

Stablecoin payments infrastructure provider Rain has filed an application to establish a national trust bank headquartered in New York, adding to a wave of crypto companies seeking bank charters over the last year.  Rain said Monday it filed the application with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) to establish Rain National Trust Bank. If approved, the bank would be able to provide fiduciary custody of digital assets and US dollars for institutional clients, provide reserve management for permitted stablecoin issuers and issue and redeem dollar-backed stablecoins in accordance with the GENIUS Act.  Former Square Financial Services chief financial officer Brandon Soto will serve as president and CEO of the proposed national trust bank, subject to OCC review.  “The institutions building on Rain want the assets behind their programs held by a fiduciary that answers to a federal regulator,” Rain CEO and co-founder Farooq Malik said.  Rain joins a growing number of crypto and payments companies seeking national trust bank charters. Payments infrastructure company Modern Treasury also announced Monday it had submitted an application seeking approval to offer digital asset custody and related fiat services.  Community banks challenge OCC over crypto trust charters  However, the push has drawn opposition from community banks. On Friday,

کل 12:12انڈسٹری

CFTC Advances Crypto Rulemaking, Opening Public Comment Period

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is moving forward with rulemaking for the cryptocurrency sector. This development includes opening a public comment period, allowing market participants to engage in the regulatory process. As noted by Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong in a recent tweet, this step signals progress towards clearer guidelines in the crypto space, which could foster greater market confidence.  The Story So Far  The recent announcement from the CFTC marks a significant step in the ongoing conversation around cryptocurrency regulation. With the public comment period now open, stakeholders have the opportunity to voice their opinions on the evolving regulatory framework. This action may pave the way for more robust guidelines that could enhance market stability and investor protection. The broader crypto market has been experiencing mixed signals, but developments like this can potentially shift sentiment positively as clarity improves.  Quick TakeThe CFTC is advancing its rulemaking process for cryptocurrencies. The public comment period is now open for stakeholder input. This initiative aims to establish clearer regulations for the crypto market. Brian Armstrongs acknowledgment highlights the importance of regulatory frameworks. The move could lead to increased market participation and investment confidence.

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