US unemployment steady, Fed rate cut unlikely by June 2026
## Market Snapshot Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? — currently 3.3% YES, reflecting a slight increase from 3% over the past 24 hours. Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? — currently 34.2% YES, indicating a significant increase from 23% a day earlier. ## Key Takeaways – The steady unemployment rate at 4.3% and robust job gains suggest a strong US economy, which appears to reduce the probability of a near-term Fed rate cut. – Market pricing suggests participants view the likelihood of a rate cut by June 2026 as low, with the odds currently at 3.3% YES. – The possibility of a rate cut by September 2026 shows increased support, with market odds moving from 23% to 34.2% YES in the past day. ## Article Body The US unemployment rate remained at 4.3% in April, marking the lowest level since last August and remaining well below the historical average of 5.7%. According to the latest report, the economy added 115,000 jobs, significantly surpassing the expected 63,000. However, February and March figures were revised down by 16,000. Year-over-year wage growth stood at 3.6%, indicating a strong labor market. Given these economic indicators, analysts suggest that a Federal Reserve rate cut