Goldman Sachs Sees Fed on Hold Longer, Pencils In December Rate Cut
Goldman Sachs has pushed back its forecast for the next two Federal Reserve rate cuts to December 2026 and March 2027. The revision comes as the bank expects inflation in 2026 to be higher than the Feds 2% target. Inflation Forces Goldman Sachs to Rethink Fed Rate Cut Calendar Goldmans report highlighted that energy cost pass-through will likely keep core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation near 3% throughout 2026. Previously, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) also projected that core PCE would return to 2% only in early 2027. Meanwhile, Goldmans US economists argued cooler monthly readings and weaker labor data must arrive first for the rate cuts. The Federal Open Market Committee held the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75% on April 29, reporting stable economic conditions across most districts. That meeting drew four dissents, the most since 1992. So $SOFI thinks there will be ZERO interest rate cuts by the Fed this year as of their last earnings call. Their guidance remained unchanged because of this. Also, Goldman Sachs Asset Managements Lindsay Rosner previously said hawks could gain ground at the June FOMC meeting. “The FOMC could well feel compelled to remove the easing bias from its next post-meeting statement in June, which would suggest the hawks









