US Dollar Weekly Forecast: Can sticky inflation rescue the Dollar?
The week that was There was no respite to the downward trend for the US Dollar (USD) this week, which added to the prior weeks retracement and at some point flirted with the area of four-month lows. Indeed, after trading at levels just shy of its psychological 100.00 barrier early in the month, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has come all the way down to challenge the 98.50 zone, extending its negative streak for the third month in a row. There was no BoJ-MoF FX intervention chatter; nothing big has moved on the geopolitical front other than the continuous (and boring) up-and-downs over who fired first and radio silence from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials due to the usual pre-Fed blackout period. The only asset that keeps reacting to the Middle East crisis is, exclusively, crude Oil. Not even the US money market, with a needle-like move in the short end of the curve, was able to provide some fresh oxygen to the Greenback. And then came the long-awaited US inflation figures, showing that consumer prices kept running hot last month and, of course, well above the Fed‘s target. Seeing the weight that inflation carries on Chair Kevin Warsh’s Fed, investors may seem a tad more









