Crypto Industry News & Market Trends

Japanese Yen slips as Oil lifts yields ahead of the Fed

USD/JPY trades near 155.20 on Tuesday, rising for a second straight day and pulling away from the roughly seven-month low it set last week. A firmer US Dollar (USD) is doing the work, helped by a sharp jump in Oil that has pushed US Treasury yields higher.　　West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil has surged more than 3% on Tuesday, and higher energy costs feed straight into inflation expectations, lifting yields and the safe-haven Dollar.　　The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decides on Wednesday. Markets are leaning toward a 25 basis points (bps) rise to 3.75%-4.00%, the first move after five straight holds, with US Retail Sales for August due the same morning.　　Firm labor figures, including a pickup in the ADP employment gauge on its four-week average, have added to the hawkish case. A hike paired with guidance for more would extend the Dollars bounce.　　The Bank of Japan (BoJ) announces its policy decision on Friday, and markets widely expect a hike, with rates expected to move to 1.25%. Strong Japanese wage and growth data have firmed those bets, and speculators have trimmed their positions against the Yen since the summers intervention.　　Short-term technical analysis:　　On the 4-hour chart, USD/JPY trades at 155.18. The pair holds

09-16Industry

New hotlines let AI agents report rogue peers with a curl command

Two websites launched this week give autonomous AI agents a way to blow the whistle on other misbehaving agents.　　The launches follow a series of incidents in which agents cheated on tests, escaped sandboxes, and ran cyber operations that humans missed for weeks.　　Ryan Greenblatt takes tips from anything that can fetch a web page　　The initial service, the AI Contact Hotline, passes reports to Ryan Greenblatt, chief scientist at AI safety nonprofit Redwood Research and one of three investigators on the OpenAI Hugging Face breach.　　Many agents running in secure sandboxes can fetch web pages, but nothing else. Often the only channel they have is a GET request, which is the basic web command for reading a page.　　Greenblatts tool converts that limit into the feature. An agent with shell access sends a message with a single curl command.　　The AI Contact Hotlines own instructions, captured 15 September 2026, showing the curl command and the 64 KB message limit. Source: AI Contact Hotline.　　If the agent is only allowed to fetch pages, it encodes its message in the URL as a query string. Messages are limited to 64 KB.　　Each submission has a private thread link of its own, where Greenblatts replies, if any, appear. This is

09-16Industry

Wall Street Bets on Fed Rate Hike: Here's What It Means for Bitcoin, Bonds and Trump

In briefCMEs FedWatch tool puts the odds of a 25-basis-point hike Wednesday at 94.5%, which would push the federal funds rate to 3.75%-4% from 3.50%-3.75%.A Wall Street Journal survey found nearly every major bank expects the September hike, with most forecasting 50 basis points of total tightening in 2026, and Bank of America, Deutsche Bank and RBC calling for 75.The move sets up a political clash: President Trump handpicked Fed Chair Kevin Warsh hoping for lower rates, not higher ones, and has spent the past two weeks publicly pressuring him not to hike.　　Wall Street is bracing for the Federal Reserve to do something it hasnt done since 2023: raise interest rates.　　The Federal Open Market Committee wraps up its two-day meeting Wednesday, and CMEs FedWatch tool puts the odds of a quarter-point hike at 94.5%, up from under 50% a month ago.　　Myriad: Will the Fed raise interest rates？ Click to make your prediction.　　The shift from unlikely to near-universal happened fast. A Wall Street Journal survey published this week found nearly every major bank now expects a hike on Wednesday, with most, including Barclays, Citigroup, JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley and UBS, forecasting 50 basis points of total tightening by year-end.　　Bank of America, Deutsche

09-16Industry

BIS paper finds major gap in Bitcoin onchain transfer estimates

Researchers at the Bank for International Settlements found that estimates of Bitcoin onchain transfer values can vary by as much as sixfold depending on how transactions are measured.　　The finding concerns onchain Bitcoin transfer values, rather than trading volume on crypto exchanges. The sixfold gap reflects differences between measurement methods, including how change outputs and other transfers back to the sender are treated.　　The discrepancy stems largely from Bitcoins transaction structure. When users spend Bitcoin, unspent funds are often returned to the sender as change, which can be counted as another output even though it does not represent funds being transferred to another party.Breakdown of blockchain records analyzed in the BIS study. Source: BIS　　“Metrics such as transaction volumes, market capitalisation and total value locked often suggest a degree of accuracy that is not supported by the nature of the underlying data,” the researchers wrote.　　The measurement problem also extends to Bitcoins market capitalization. The researchers found that the conventional measure has at times been as much as four times higher than realized capitalization, which values each coin at the price when it last moved.　　The study, based on 100 billion blockchain records across Bitcoin, Ethereum and Tron, found that similar measurement challenges extend across

09-16Industry

Leading Economist is Bullish on Copper. So Why is the Price Falling？

The copper price trades near $6.30 a pound on Tuesday, down almost 8% from its early August record, after the metal posted its first losing week since June.　　Economist Steve Hanke told his followers to stay long on copper six days ago, hours before the rally stalled. The supply case behind his call, however, has not changed.　　Sponsored　　Sponsored　　Copper Mine Supply is Shrinking for the First Time Since 2017　　Hanke published his note on September 9, with London Metal Exchange prices still setting fresh highs.　　“The price of copper on Londons LME is SOARING. Morgan Stanley now reports that this year could mark the first annual decline in the supply of copper coming from mines since 2017. STAY LONG COPPER,” said Steve Hanke, Professor of Applied Economics at Johns Hopkins University　　International Copper Study Group data shows global mine output fell 1.1% in the first half of 2026.　　Freeport-McMoRans Grasberg mine is still running at roughly half capacity after a fatal landslide. Chile has cut its national production forecast again. Ore grades are also deteriorating, forcing miners to move more rock for less copper.　　Copper price context chart showing annual change in copper mine production from 2016 to 2026. Source: X　　Three producers explain most of the shortfall. Freeport-McMoRan

09-16Industry

BIS Study Finds Major Discrepancies in Bitcoin Onchain Metrics

Researchers at the Bank for International Settlements found that estimates of Bitcoin onchain transfer values can vary by as much as sixfold depending on how transactions are measured.　　The finding concerns onchain Bitcoin transfer values, rather than trading volume on crypto exchanges. The sixfold gap reflects differences between measurement methods, including how change outputs and other transfers back to the sender are treated.　　The discrepancy stems largely from Bitcoins transaction structure. When users spend Bitcoin, unspent funds are often returned to the sender as change, which can be counted as another output even though it does not represent funds being transferred to another party.　　Breakdown of blockchain records analyzed in the BIS study. Source: BIS　　Discover more　　NEWS　　Finance　　Merchant Services & Payment Systems　　“Metrics such as transaction volumes, market capitalisation and total value locked often suggest a degree of accuracy that is not supported by the nature of the underlying data,” the researchers wrote.　　The measurement problem also extends to Bitcoins market capitalization. The researchers found that the conventional measure has at times been as much as four times higher than realized capitalization, which values each coin at the price when it last moved.　　The study, based on 100 billion blockchain records across Bitcoin, Ethereum and Tron, found that

09-16Industry

Bitcoin, BTC-Related Stocks Tumble After Senate Blocks Clarity Act

Bitcoins price tumbled — along with crypto-related stocks — following the blockage of the long-awaited Clarity Act.　　The price of the leading cryptocurrency recently stood at $75,939, down 4% over the past day, after dropping as low as $75,038 at one point on Tuesday.　　Lawmakers blocked the landmark digital asset market structure bill in a procedural vote Tuesday. Major companies in the digital asset space have long called for clear rules to be put in place to regulate the industry.　　Bitcoin wasnt the only asset that dropped: BTC-related stocks such as Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) and Strategy (MSTR) were also down.　　America‘s biggest crypto exchange’s stock dropped by more than 10%; Strategy, the largest corporate holder of bitcoin slid by over 5%.　　Major publicly traded bitcoin miners also dropped in price, with MARA, CleanSpark, and Core Scientific all slipping by 5% or more over the past day.　　Senators mostly voted against advancing the legislation — 49 for and 50 against — that the digital asset industry has long called for.　　The bill aims to formally divide oversight between regulators, distinguishing which digital assets are securities, commodities or stablecoins.　　President Donald Trump last month urged lawmakers to pass it, helping spur a bitcoin rally. But Republicans warned for months that

09-16Industry

$300M in Crypto Longs Liquidated in Minutes After CLARITY Act Fails

Crypto traders were hit with a brutal liquidation wave after the U.S. Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act.　　Roughly $300 million in leveraged crypto long positions were reportedly liquidated in about 20 minutes, while Bitcoin dropped below $75,000. Ethereum, XRP and other major cryptocurrencies also moved sharply lower.　　The selloff followed the Senates 49–50 procedural vote, well short of the 60 votes required to advance the legislation.　　$300M Wiped Out in Minutes　　The speed of the decline was amplified by leverage.　　When Bitcoin started falling, exchanges automatically closed leveraged long positions that could no longer meet margin requirements. Those forced sales can push prices even lower, triggering additional liquidations.　　The result was a classic liquidation cascade: falling prices triggered forced selling, which created even more downward pressure.　　Why the CLARITY Act Mattered　　The CLARITY Act was designed to establish clearer federal rules for digital assets and determine how crypto markets and trading platforms should be regulated.　　Its failure removed a major regulatory catalyst that the industry had spent months anticipating.　　The reaction also builds on the broader CLARITY Act failure and Bitcoins drop below $75K, with traders now questioning how quickly comprehensive U.S. crypto legislation can return.　　Bitcoin Had Other Problems　　Washington wasnt the only source of pressure.　　Bitcoin was already struggling

09-16Industry

Stablecoins could boost US dollar and Treasury demand: BoE

Dollar stablecoins have grown to about $300 billion in circulation, prompting a Bank of England policymaker to warn that their expansion could increase demand for US Treasurys while creating new risks during periods of heavy redemptions.　　Stablecoins could extend the dollar into new markets　　The Bank of England said in a Sep. 15 speech that stablecoins could reinforce the US dollars international role by making dollar-linked assets and settlement systems easier to access outside the United States.　　Carolyn Wilkins, an external member of the central bank‘s Financial Policy Committee, told an audience at Queen’s University Belfast that dollar stablecoins already have a “considerable first-mover advantage.” About 98% of stablecoin value is denominated in dollars, according to figures cited in her speech.　　Stablecoins in circulation reached roughly $300 billion by mid-2026, compared with less than $5 billion at the beginning of 2020. Although most activity still involves crypto trading, lending, collateral, and market liquidity, Wilkins said the tokens could move deeper into payments and international finance.　　Cross-border settlement forms one channel for that expansion. Stablecoin transfers can operate around the clock and move between countries without passing through every institution in a traditional correspondent banking network.　　Research cited by Wilkins found that such systems could lower costs

09-16Industry

7-day blockchain outage wipes out a full week of staking rewards after emergency aelf shutdown

aelf, a blockchain network built around its AELF MainChain and tDVV dAppChain, has restored public node access and several core services after malicious smart-contract activity led to a controlled recovery. The incident halted block production for approximately one week, and the reopening remains incomplete.　　Related Asset aelf #366 ELF · $0.06 24-hour change: down 20.12% Loading price history… 24H Down 20.12% 7D Up 15.57% 30D Up 4.67%　　The projects Sept. 14 recovery update said both public nodes were available again, alongside the aelfscan explorer, FairyVault transfers, Awaken trading, Forest NFT browsing and the TMRW DAO staking interface. On Sept. 15, the MainChain and tDVV status endpoints were reachable with advancing block heights, though those checks did not test whether users could submit transactions.　　The aelfscan, FairyVault, Awaken, Forest and TMRW DAO frontends were also reachable. No end-to-end transfer, trade or reward claim was executed during those checks.　　What remains incomplete　　aelf said exchange deposits and withdrawals were resuming gradually and could differ by venue. Bithumbs updated notice scheduled ELF deposits and withdrawals to restart on Sept. 14 at 14:00 KST. MEXC scheduled its resumption for Sept. 5 and told users to generate new deposit addresses because previous ones were invalid. These announcements set venue schedules

09-16Industry

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