Kalshi hit with 14-day restraining order in Michigan, blocking sports prediction markets in state

Quick TakeA Michigan judge issued a temporary restraining order against Kalshi, blocking the platform from offering sports-related event contracts in the state.Jurisdiction over prediction market platforms is an ongoing dispute between the CFTC and multiple state regulators.  The state of Michigan issued a temporary restraining order on Kalshi, barring the prediction market platform from offering sports-related event contracts in the U.S. state.  Ingham County Circuit Court Judge Rosemarie E. Aquilina issued the order on Monday, according to a statement from Attorney General Dana Nessel. The temporary restraining order lasts for 14 days, meaning that it will remain in effect until July 13.  The order also stipulates that the court would fine Kalshi $120,000 for each day it does not comply with the geo-fencing requirements it imposes.  “Our gambling laws exist to protect Michiganders from unlicensed, predatory operations, and failing to comply with them carries serious legal consequences,” Nessel said in the statement.  The restraining order comes after the Western District of Michigan court granted Nessels motion to remand the states lawsuit against Kalshi back to the state court. Kalshi had attempted to remove the case to the federal level.  Michigan authorities filed a lawsuit against Kalshi in March, claiming that the federally regulated prediction market platform

06-30Industry

Benchmark sees over 500% upside in Strategy, reiterates $570 target on new capital framework

Quick TakeBenchmark reiterated its Buy rating and $570 price target on Strategy, citing the companys new Digital Credit Capital Framework.  Benchmark Equity Research reiterated its Buy rating and $570 price target on Strategy after the company introduced a five-component capital framework that expands its ability to repurchase securities, monetize bitcoin holdings, and manage capital deployment during periods of market stress.  Strategy shares closed up 12.6% at $92.68 on Monday, according to The Blocks MSTR price page. Benchmarks $570 target implies approximately 515% upside from that closing price.  Mondays gain followed Strategys announcement of its new Digital Credit Capital Framework. The initiative includes a $2.55 billion reserve representing 17.4 months of dividend coverage, a $1 billion common stock repurchase program, a $1 billion preferred share buyback plan across its STRC, STRF, STRD and STRK issues, and board authorization to sell up to $1.25 billion in bitcoin from its 847,363 BTC treasury.  In a note to clients, Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer said the framework formally grants management permission to run Strategys capital machine in “reverse” when market conditions demand it. That includes repurchasing common and perpetual preferred shares, monetizing bitcoin holdings to meet obligations, and pausing common issuance when the shares no longer trade at a

06-30Industry

ARK buys Coinbase, Circle, Bullish and Robinhood as stocks rally

SummaryARK bought nearly $16.9 million in crypto-linked stocks as Coinbase and Circle closed higher Monday.Coinbase led ARKs latest buying round, while Circle followed after expanding its BNY partnership.The purchases extend ARKs recent accumulation of crypto equities tied to trading and stablecoins.  The trades came across ARK Innovation ETF, ARK Next Generation Internet ETF and ARK Blockchain & Fintech Innovation ETF.  ARK bought 45,164 Coinbase shares worth about $6.85 million at Mondays closing price. It also purchased 81,757 Circle shares worth about $6.21 million, 149,422 Bullish shares worth about $3.54 million and 2,943 Robinhood shares worth about $299,685.  Source: X  You might also like:  Securitizes $400M SPAC deal sets up Thursday NYSE debut  Coinbase and Circle lead the buying  Coinbase closed Monday up 1.74% at $151.65, while Circle rose 3.25% to $75.96. Bullish gained 1.72% to $23.69, and Robinhood climbed 3.18% to $101.83. Major U.S. stock indexes also closed higher during the session.  The largest purchase by value was Coinbase. ARK has held Coinbase across several funds and often adjusts its exposure when prices move. The firm also rebalances its ETFs so no single stock grows beyond 10% of any funds portfolio, according to The Block.  Circle expands BNY stablecoin partnership  Circles stock move came on the same day that BNY

06-30Exchange

MiCA July 1 deadline could leave 10 million crypto users searching for a new platform in the EU

The European Unions (EU) July 1 Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) deadline could leave more than 10 million users looking for a new platform, Alex Fazel, chief partnership officer at Swissborg, told CoinDesk in an interview.  The latest deadline implementing the EUs crypto rules are forcing dozens of exchanges to halt or restrict services, with the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) warning that crypto-asset service providers operating without a MiCA license after July 1 should wind down their businesses while helping customers move to authorized providers or self-hosted wallets.  The deadline also comes as the European Banking Authority (EBA), which directly supervises significant stablecoin issuers under MiCA, proposed a framework on Friday that would allow fines of up to 12.5% of annual turnover for major issuers that breach the regulation. The consultation runs until Sept. 28, after which the methodology will be finalized.  Europe was thought to have had more than 3,000 registered virtual asset service providers (VASPs), the pre-MiCA categorization, as of 2024. As many as 80% of them will not continue after the deadline, Erald Ghoos, CEO of OKX Europe, told CoinDesk.  The immediate impact will fall on customers whose exchanges are withdrawing services, Fazel told CoinDesk  Several exchanges, including Binance, have announced

06-29Exchange

BlackRock pushes deeper into DeFi with Ethena integration, sending ENA up 8%

Ethena said its yield-generating “synthetic dollar” token will be integrated into BlackRocks (BLK) Aladdin investment management platform as the crypto protocol is deepening its relationship with traditional finance firms.  The Monday announcement sent Ethenas governance token $ENA ($ENA) up about 8% on the day as investors welcomed another high-profile institutional partnership.  Aladdin is BlackRocks portfolio construction, trading and risk management platform used by banks, insurers, pension funds and asset managers overseeing more than $20 trillion in combined assets. The integration will give institutions using Aladdin access to $USDe, Ethenas yield token designed for onchain savings and settlement.  Ethena also said BlackRocks tokenized money market fund, BUIDL, will serve as the primary reserve asset for a forthcoming white-label product. The companies also plan to establish a liquidity facility for BlackRocks tokenized products.  The announcement is the latest in a series of partnerships between global asset managers and decentralized finance protocols.  Earlier this year, BlackRock expanded its tokenized money market fund through a partnership with Uniswap and also invested an undisclosed amount in the decentralized exchanges UNI token. Private markets giant Apollo Global Management (APO) struck a deal with lending protocol Morpho to bring tokenized private credit assets onchain.  Ethena has been increasingly focused on expanding to institutions

06-29Exchange

Kalshi and Polymarket could become M&A targets as prediction markets consolidate: Bernstein

The rapid consolidation of the prediction market technology stack is raising the odds of a new wave of mergers and acquisitions across sports betting and financial markets, according to Wall Street broker Bernstein.  Over the past eight months, every major consumer-facing prediction platform has moved to own both customer distribution and exchange infrastructure, the report said.  “Kalshi and Polymarket own the stack but trail on distribution, which leaves each as plausibly a target as an acquirer,” analysts led by Ian Moore said in the Monday report.  The analysts noted that DraftKings acquired Railbird to launch its DKeX exchange, Robinhood partnered with Susquehanna to build Rothera, Coinbase acquired The Clearing Company shortly after launching event contracts, and Flutter established a dual-FCM structure to preserve access to multiple exchanges.  The trend reflects Bernsteins view that prediction markets are converging with sports betting and consumer finance into a single competitive landscape, opening the door to combinations that previously seemed unlikely, including sportsbooks buying exchanges, exchanges buying sportsbooks, and consolidation among sportsbook operators themselves.  Prediction markets have surged into the financial mainstream over the past two years, fueled by the success of election betting, the expansion of sports event contracts and growing adoption by major retail trading platforms. Companies

06-29Exchange

Tether's USDT jumps to 8.5% premium in India after crypto payment crackdown

The price of Tethers $USDT, the largest dollar-pegged stablecoin, has climbed to more than 8.5% above its dollar value on Indian platforms after a government crackdown on crypto payment firms choked off the tokens supply into the country.  $USDT traded around 102.88 rupees over the weekend against an official dollar-rupee rate of about 94.65, a gap that normally sits between 3% and 4%.  That spread, known as the $USDT premium, is the extra amount buyers in India pay for the stablecoin above what a dollar costs through banks, and it widens when local demand outstrips the supply of tokens.  Local publication ET said the squeeze followed action by the Enforcement Directorate, Indias financial-crime agency, which searched six premises in Bengaluru on June 17 under the Foreign Exchange Management Act, the law governing cross-border money flows. The agency is targeting five crypto payment firms it alleges moved more than $265 million in unauthorized cross-border transfers using digital assets.  The ED alleges the firms ran what amounted to an informal remittance channel, with non-resident Indians using $USDT in place of bank wires.  Rupees were deposited into company accounts, converted into stablecoins, sent across borders and sold on Indian exchanges, the agency said, sidestepping the paperwork and approvals

06-29Exchange

Bitcoin miners flash another warning for BTC bulls

Bitcoin miners weighed down the spot market after transferring another 19,560 $BTC to Binance. This is the fourth-largest $BTC inflow to the exchange since February, showing the current price range is putting pressure on mining companies.   Bitcoin miners accelerated their exchange deposits in June, with another deposit of 19,560 $BTC. The recent wave of deposits follows an inflow of 23,000 $BTC earlier this month.  According to Cryptoquant analyst Amr Taha, the recent inflows go beyond routine transfers and are a significant on-chain event. Miners strongly prefer Binance, with minimal inflows to Coinbase, HTX, OKX, Kraken, Bybit, Gemini, or other exchanges.  The inflows happened as $BTC hovered just under $60,000. Later, the coin recovered to $60,019.25, with a dominance of 55.8%. According to F2Pool, one of the biggest miners, $BTC conditions worsened notably in the past week.  Difficulty: +7.15%  $BTC price change (7d): -7% (~$60k)  Daily revenue: $0.03/T  Currently, Bitcoin ASICs with a unit power of 19.5 W/T are running close to their break-even line.  View the full list here:…  The transfer to exchanges does not mean that the coins are sold. It may mean that miners may take advantage of the spot market if prices are favorable. The two large-scale inflow events in June suggest miners are still

06-29Exchange

Hyper Foundation allocates $10m in grants to support USDH migration

Hyper Foundation will allocate about $10 million in grants to help builders affected by the USDH sunset. The funding is meant to cover migration and wind-down costs as the Hyperliquid ecosystem moves more trading activity toward $USDC.  “Hyper Foundation announced approximately $10 million in grants to help builders affected by the USDH sunset, covering migration and wind-down costs,” Wu Blockchain said. The post said eligible recipients include HIP-1 and HIP-3 deployers, HyperEVM protocols, USDH bridges and Native Markets.  Hyper Foundation Allocates $10M in Grants to Support USDH Migration  Hyper Foundation announced approximately $10 million in grants to help builders affected by the USDH sunset, covering migration and wind-down costs. Grants will be distributed to eligible HIP-1 and HIP-3…  The grants come with a clear deadline. Recipients must complete migrations or orderly shutdowns by the end of July. The plan gives affected builders a limited period to update markets, move liquidity, adjust bridges or close USDH-related services.  Eligible builders face July deadline  HIP-1 deployers relate to spot market deployments, while HIP-3 deployers relate to perpetual market deployments. Both groups may need support because USDH served as a quote asset or liquidity route for some products. HyperEVM protocols and USDH bridge operators may also face direct technical changes.  Native

06-29Exchange

10 Crypto Market Predictions for 2026 Show Winners, Laggards, and Emerging Trends

21Shares Measures 10 Crypto Forecasts Against Midyear Market Data  Crypto markets are entering the second half of 2026 with 10 major forecasts moving at sharply different speeds, 21Shares stated in its midyear outlook, published on June 24. The review compares January expectations with market data through May 31 and June 8, separating areas that are ahead of schedule, behind target, or still developing.  The first prediction stated that bitcoins four-year cycle would break in 2026. That forecast has not materialized. Bitcoin reached a peak of about $126,000 in October 2025 before retracing roughly 50%. While the correction was significant, it remained far less severe than previous bear markets, which saw declines exceeding 80%, and bitcoin continued to trade above its $54,000 aggregate cost basis.  21Shares is a cryptocurrency exchange-traded product (ETP) issuer that offers more than 60 physically backed crypto ETPs across global markets. Its researchers described:  “While the overall direction we outlined for 2026 remains largely on track, some predictions are ahead of schedule and others are lagging.”  The second prediction expected global crypto ETP assets to surpass $400 billion. That target now looks distant after assets fell to roughly $140 billion by May. Bitcoin ETPs accounted for about $110 billion, while U.S. spot

06-29Exchange
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