Trump concession sends CLARITY Act odds above 32% before make-or-break Senate vote
The CLARITY Act‘s chances of becoming law climbed above 32% as Senate Republicans unveiled their final compromise before Tuesday’s cloture vote. Related Law CLARITY Act: US Digital Asset Market Structure United States · Passed Polymarket traders pushed the probability of the landmark crypto market-structure legislation being enacted in 2026 to its highest level since Aug. 2 after Republicans released a 635-page final draft designed to resolve several disputes that have held up the bill. The move marks a turnaround from weeks of skepticism surrounding the legislation, though prediction-market pricing remains well below levels seen earlier this year. The contract reached about 82% in February before political disputes over ethics, stablecoin rewards and decentralized-finance protections complicated its path through the Senate. Related Company Polymarket Decentralized prediction market platform Tuesday provides the next test. Senators are scheduled to vote on cloture on the motion to proceed with H.R. 3633, a procedural step that would require 60 votes and allow the chamber to begin considering the legislation. If cloture is invoked, the final text would then be offered as a substitute amendment. Republicans said the latest version incorporates 126 substantive changes Democrats requested after more than a year of negotiations. The revisions touch some of the bills most contentious









