U.S. CPI inflation slows to 3.4% as expected, bitcoin holds near $64,000

Abstract:July's U.S. inflation report matched expectations, leaving Federal Reserve rate-hike expectations broadly unchanged. The Consumer Price Index rose 0.1% month over month and 3.4% year over year, in line with forecasts and slightly below June's 3.5% annual reading. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased 0.2% monthly and 2.5% annually, also as expected, edging lower from June's 2.6%. Bitcoin dipped from $64,400 to $64,080 in a knee-jerk reaction before stabilizing, holding near $64,000 and roughly flat over 24 hours. Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.7%. Treasury yields stayed under pressure, with the two-year at 4.19% and the ten-year at 4.66%. The report carried added weight after July's employment data showed a surprise loss of 23,000 jobs.

Summary

  • Headline CPI rose 0.1% month over month and 3.4% year over year in July.
  • Core CPI increased 0.2% monthly and 2.5% annually, both matching forecasts.
  • Bitcoin held near $64,000 following the report.

U.S. inflation in July was in line with expectations, leaving expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike broadly unchanged.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.1% in July from the previous month, compared with economists‘ forecast for a 0.1% increase and June’s 0.4% decline.

On a year-over-year basis, CPI rose 3.4%, in line with forecasts and slightly lower than Junes 3.5% reading.

Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2% month over month in July, compared with forecasts for a 0.2% increase and an unchanged reading in June. On a year-over-year basis, core CPI rose 2.5% as expected by analysts and edging lower from Junes 2.6%.

Bitcoin fell from $64,400 to $64,080 in a knee-jerk reaction before stabilizing, still largely flat over 24 hours. Nasdaq 100 futures traded 0.7% higher.

Treasury yields remained under pressure, maintaining pre-CPI weakness. The two-year hovered at 4.19%, down 3.6 basis points on the day, and the 10-year yield stood at 4.66%, also down three basis points.

Already a key data point for markets, Julys CPI report took on added importance after a weaker-than-expected U.S. employment report showed that the economy unexpectedly shed 23,000 jobs in July.

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