Iran holds 1,000 pounds of enriched uranium, complicating US acquisition
Tech Iran holds 1,000 pounds of enriched uranium, complicating US acquisition Irans possession of 1,000 pounds of 60% enriched uranium makes US acquisition by May 31 unlikely. The Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium by April 30, 2026 market has collapsed to 0.8% YES, down from 6% just 24 hours ago, as the massive stockpile with no peaceful use makes any near-term deal harder to structure. With only six days left on the April 30 contract, traders are pricing in almost no chance of a diplomatic agreement. The June 30, 2026 market sits at 21.5% YES, suggesting traders see some possibility of movement over the next two months but nothing close to a consensus expectation. The Iran uranium surrender market saw $57,314 in USDC traded over the last 24 hours, with the largest price movement being a 1-point spike at 11:14 AM. It would take $9,561 to move the April 30 odds by 5 percentage points, meaning a single large trader could meaningfully shift the market. The short-term prospect of Iran agreeing to surrender its enriched uranium is near zero by the markets own pricing. Buying YES at 1¢ is a lottery ticket: a 100x return, but only if an agreement materializes in the next