Strategy says Bitcoin can fall 11.4% yearly for nearly six years
Strategy says its current capital structure could withstand a prolonged Bitcoin decline while continuing to fund interest payments and preferred stock dividends. SummaryStrategy says its current structure can fund obligations through 5.8 years of steady Bitcoin declines.Company data shows a $3.225 billion cash reserve supporting preferred dividends and debt interest payments.The stress test uses Strategys internal BTC Rating rather than an independent credit agency assessment. In a July 24 post on X, the company said Bitcoin could fall 11.4% each year for 5.8 consecutive years without pushing its company-defined BTC Rating below 1.0x. At todays capital structure, $BTC could fall 11.4% annually for 5.8 years, and Strategy could still fully fund interest and preferred dividends while maintaining a 1.0x BTC Rating. $MSTR pic.twitter.com/NqL5ZTV9Gg — Strategy (@Strategy) July 25, 2026 The claim arrived as Bitcoin traded near $64,463 and Strategy shares closed at $91.67 on July 24. Bitcoin remained below Strategys average purchase price, while MSTR had fallen sharply from its previous peak. The exercise describes a steady multi-year decline, not a sudden crash or a guarantee that Strategy could meet every obligation under all market conditions. You might also like: Cardano founder says quantum threat could dethrone Bitcoin What Strategys Bitcoin stress test measures Strategys model uses a measure