Bitcoin Bear Market Not Over, Benjamin Cowen Says Despite Recent Rally
200D moving average on BTC daily chart Cowen acknowledged several reasons the bear case could be wrong. Bitcoins year-to-date return is currently outperforming the average midterm year by a wide margin. The token sits roughly 10% below its yearly open, compared with a typical decline of 30 to 35% at this stage. It has also reclaimed the bull market support band. Cowen flagged another structural shift. “Bitcoin topped on apathy rather than euphoria.” Retail interest never returned, and altcoins continued bleeding against Bitcoin throughout the rally. That apathetic peak could mean a different kind of bear market this time. Why the Pattern Still Points Lower Past cycles offer the strongest case for staying defensive. In 2014, 2018, and 2019, Bitcoin rallied above the bull market support band before pulling back, with the 200-day moving average serving as resistance. “If I‘m right, it will seem so obvious… If I’m wrong, then by the time you do something that‘s different enough, you’re already well off the lows.” Time between cycle lows is the other signal Cowen tracks. Recent cycles waited roughly 140 to 174 days before printing a new low. “We‘re currently on day 88. So, who’s to know whatll happen in 3 months.” Cowen expects the current rally to peak within









