Euro: Range trading against US Dollar in low vol regime – ING
Finance Euro: Range trading against US Dollar in low vol regime – ING INGs Chris Turner highlights that EUR/USD three‑month implied volatility trades well below realised and near the lower end of its five‑year range, pointing to a range‑bound environment. With slightly greater upside risks to Oil prices, ING sees EUR/USD drifting lower in coming sessions but expects strong buying interest around 1.1650, while upcoming Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and European Central Bank (ECB) speeches could shape expectations for a June rate hike. Range-bound pair with downside risks “EUR/USD three-month traded volatility is now 5.7%. That is more than 1% below realised volatility and not far from the 5.2/5.3% lower end of the range for traded volatility seen over the last five years. That does not mean that a new trend cannot occur, but when looking at the relatively flat risk reversal (the price of a euro call over an equivalent euro put), the conclusion is more range-bound EUR/USD trading.” “Given that we see slightly greater upside risks to oil prices from current levels, EUR/USD could come a little lower over the coming sessions. However, good demand should be found once again at 1.1650. On the calendar today is the second release of 1Q26








