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Bitcoin left behind in the geopolitical melee

The current state of financial markets is best described as macro-geopolitics first, crypto second.　　The evidence is clear. Despite recent positive regulatory developments related to the Clarity Act, bitcoin has shown little excitement, trading near $77,200 – largely unchanged over the past 24 hours and for the week.　　Meanwhile, oil remains elevated near $100 and speculative capital is pouring into copper amid fears of a sulfur shortage. The connection？ Copper production is heavily dependent on sulfuric acid, whose supply has been disrupted through the Strait of Hormuz.　　In essence, everything is revolving around Hormuz, driving commodity flows and prices higher, stoking inflation fears, lifting bond yields, which are supposedly weighing over crypto. The U.S. stocks, meanwhile, hover near record highs, driven by AI optimism.　　Bitcoin is not at the center of this geo-economic and AI repricing.　　It is no surprise, therefore, that U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs continue to bleed, recording $1.15 billion in outflows this week after $1 billion last week, according to SoSoValue. The Coinbase premium, a key gauge of U.S. demand relative to the rest of the world, has hit monthly lows.　　Analysts have repeatedly emphasized that these indicators need marked improvement before a sustained rally can take hold. The question is whether that

05-22

Why do Bitcoin traders care so much about the 200-day moving average？

Bitcoin price reached $82,400 on May 20 and ran into a line on a chart. Up 37% from its April lows, BTC stalled at the 200-day moving average, pulled back to as low as $76,000, and left the market wondering what the rejection showed about the markets underlying structure.　　That line, a simple arithmetic average, is among the most-watched indicators in crypto, and understanding why helps decode how the market is reading the current moment.　　The reversal repeated a pattern we saw in March 2022, when Bitcoin staged a comparable 43% relief rally before testing the same indicator and resuming its downtrend. That parallel deserves careful attention, though the current on-chain data adds important nuance.　　Graph showing Bitcoins price and the 200-day moving average from May 17, 2021, to May 21, 2026 (Source: TradingView)The math behind the price anxiety　　A moving average smooths price volatility by averaging a set of historical prices into a single line. The 200-day version takes Bitcoins daily closing prices over the previous 200 “sessions,” averages them, and plots the result continuously, updating each day as the oldest price drops out and the newest enters. Its one of the most straightforward indicators in technical analysis, with the 200-bar version widely

05-22

XRP Withdrawals from Binance Hit Highest Level in Over a Month

$XRP withdrawals from Binance have reached their highest level in over a month despite the latest market pullback.　　After soaring to a high of $1.54 on May 14, $XRP faced resistance and pulled back alongside the rest of the crypto market, dropping to $1.37.　　Amid the correction, verified CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha recently revealed that $XRP withdrawals from Binance have climbed to their highest level in more than a month. This indicates that investors are making more withdrawal transactions than deposits on Binance.　　Key Points$XRP climbed to $1.54 on May 14 before pulling back to $1.37 as market momentum weakened.Binance $XRP withdrawals reached 53%, exceeding deposits at 47% for the first time since April 10.Similar withdrawal dominance appeared on April 10 when $XRP traded near $1.34.Binance whale outflows above 1 million $XRP rose to 57.6%, the highest level since March 28.　　$XRP Withdrawals from Binance Reach 1-Month Peak　　In his latest analysis, Taha pointed out that withdrawal transactions once again exceeded deposit transactions on Binance. He presented this with data from the seven-day transaction-share chart.　　Data confirms that withdrawal transactions made up 53% of Binance $XRP activity, while deposits accounted for 47%. He noted that this was one of the strongest withdrawal readings since April 10,

05-22

HYPE is nearing a new ATH, and the whales are buying every dip – Details!

Hyperliquid‘s [$HYPE] traders are increasingly bullish right now! The platform is one of crypto’s biggest on-chain trading venues, and the belief is that it is now challenging some of the industrys biggest players.　　$HYPE nears $ATH as whales buy the fear　　$HYPE is back near its previous $ATH. What stands out now though, is how the market reacted to pressure.　　Even with growing regulatory concerns and some pulled liquidity, $HYPE has continued to climb on the charts. In fact, whale data also hinted at buying through the fear, all while retail stayed back in cautiousness.　　Source: Alphractal　　According to Alphractal, while funding has slowed down, leverage has been more balanced, with the OI rebuilding too.　　Theres some real weight behind the rally　　$HYPEs market cap has reportedly crossed $14.9 billion, pushing it into the top 10. Additionally, Hyperliquid has also flipped Solana [SOL] by FDV.　　Source: Arkham　　Source: Arkham　　In the past week alone, 21Shares‘ THYP ETF listed on Nasdaq with $1.8 million in day-one volume, followed by Bitwise’s BHYP, which opened with $4.31 million. Around the same time, Coinbase became Hyperliquids USDC treasury deployer. This could route $135-160 million annually towards $HYPE buybacks.　　Source: X　　Then came the SpaceX pre-IPO synthetic perp, which saw $33 million in day-one volume and $21.8

05-22

Euro weakens against British Pound ahead of Germany IFO Business Survey

EUR/GBP extends its winning streak for the fifth consecutive day, trading around 0.8650 during the Asian hours on Friday. The currency cross remains subdued as the Euro (EUR) struggles ahead of upcoming German economic indicators, including the June GfK Consumer Confidence Survey, Q1 GDP figures, and the IFO Business Survey, due later in the day.　　The Euro faced significant challenges as traders reacted to a surprising contraction in the Eurozone economy. According to the latest S&P Global flash Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data released on Thursday, the Euro Area economy shrank in May at its fastest pace since late 2023. This downturn was primarily driven by a conflict-fueled surge in living costs that stifled service demand and pushed input price inflation to a three-year high.　　The downside of the EUR/GBP cross is retrained as the British Pound (GBP) inches lower following the GfK Consumer Confidence Index release, which edged up to -23 in May 2026 from -25 in the previous month, which had marked the lowest reading since October 2023 amid persistent worries about the Iran war. The result defied market estimates of -28, suggesting that households were slightly less pessimistic about the outlook. GfK consumer insights director Neil Bellamy cautioned that

05-22

Bitcoin Longs Rise As Traders Aim For Rally To $82K

Key takeaways:Top traders boosted their Bitcoin long-to-short ratios, strengthening the $76,000 support floor.Macroeconomic pressures and persistent Bitcoin ETF outflows are capping immediate Bitcoin breakout potential to $82,000.　　Bitcoin ($BTC) flirted with $78,000 on Thursday but failed to sustain its bullish momentum after a disappointing outlook from US retailer Walmart and growing signs of a more restrictive US monetary policy. Despite weakening macroeconomic conditions, professional Bitcoin traders increased their bullish exposure. Is a rally to $82,000 the next step？　　Top traders Bitcoin long-to-short position at Binance s Editorial Policy and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trades carry risk; readers are encouraged to conduct independent research.

05-22

Ethereum price risks drop to $1,800 as ascending channel breaks

Ethereum price has broken down from an ascending parallel channel pattern on the daily chart — May 21 　　Momentum indicators are also deteriorating. The MACD histogram has flipped negative while the MACD line continues crossing below the signal line, confirming growing bearish momentum on the daily timeframe. Previous bearish crossovers on the same chart structure earlier this year preceded extended downside moves.　　The immediate support zone now sits near $2,080. Failure to hold this area could expose Ethereum to a rapid move toward the $1,800 region, which aligns with previous consolidation support formed during March and April.　　Some technical traders have also warned that Ethereum is now trading below several major exponential moving averages, strengthening the probability of further downside continuation. A confirmed daily close below the channel support could invalidate the entire April recovery structure.　　Derivatives positioning adds another layer of risk. CoinGlass liquidation data shows a dense concentration of leveraged long positions sitting between $2,040 and $2,000. If Ethereum breaks decisively below that zone, forced liquidations could amplify downside volatility.　　According to CoinGlass estimates, more than $1.70 billion worth of leveraged long positions could face liquidation pressure if ETH falls below approximately $2,044. Such liquidation cascades often trigger rapid flash crashes as

05-22

California Governor Acts on AI Workforce Disruption as Silicon Valley Sheds 114,000 Jobs

California Governor Gavin Newsom signed a “first-in-the-nation executive order” on Thursday to tackle artificial intelligence (AI) workforce disruption. 　　The order directs California to prepare workers, small businesses, and communities for economic impact from AI.　　What the California Governors Order Covers　　The order convenes a broad group of universities, economists, labor specialists, state agencies, and industry executives. They will draft new policies and track signals of where AI is cutting jobs.　　The goal is to help California workers, not just tech firms, share in AIs productivity gains. The policy menu includes new severance rules, employment insurance, and transition payments for displaced workers.　　Other ideas under study include worker-owned company structures, universal basic capital programs, and broader job training. The order also seeks better hiring and payroll data so the state can spot layoff trends sooner.　　“California has never sat back and watched as the future happened to us… Today is just the first step as we rewrite policy and direction, creating a future of work that works for all,” Newsom said.　　I just signed a first-of-its-kind executive order to empower workers impacted by AI.　　California will pursue new policies that make sure working Californians — not just Big Tech — benefit from the wealth and breakthroughs coming out

05-22

Ethereum Foundation Faces Heat After Feist’s $1B Proposal

Dankrad Feist proposed creating a new Ethereum-focused organization with at least $1 billion in funding.He said the new group should be economically aligned with Ethereum and accountable to the community.Feist argued that the organization should have competent leadership and a board with stronger oversight.He said the group should also have a mandate to help support ETHs value.The proposal added fresh pressure on the Ethereum Foundation on Thursday.　　Pressure on the Ethereum Foundation rose on Thursday after former core developer Dankrad Feist proposed a new Ethereum-focused organization. Feist said the group should raise at least $1 billion and operate with leadership accountable to the Ethereum community. His proposal added to concerns about governance, staffing exits, and Ethereums market performance.　　Ethereum Foundation Draws New Criticism After Feist Proposal　　Feist outlined the idea in a post on X and framed it as a way to “save” Ethereum. He said the community needs an organization “economically aligned with Ethereum and accountable to it.”　　He proposed a board with stronger accountability and a clear mandate to support ETH. He also said the group should aim to help Ethereums price rise.　　Feist said the organization should have at least $1 billion in funding. He added that staking revenue could help support

05-22

Variational predicts RWA perpetuals will soon be the biggest contract class in DeFi

Variational, a peer-to-peer onchain derivatives trading protocol, said it raised $50 million in a round led by global investment fund Dragonfy with participation from companies including Bain Capital Crypto and Coinbase Ventures.　　The money will be used to expand the Cayman Islands-based companys derivatives trading services, it said in a statement released Thursday. The raise comes just as Variational introduces perpetual futures tied to real-world assets (RWAs) such as gold, silver, copper and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil.　　“We believe RWA perpetuals will soon be the biggest contract class in decentralized finance (DeFi), bigger than bitcoin and ether combined,” Lucas V. Schuermann, CEO and co-founder at Variational, told CoinDesk.　　Bitcoin , the largest cryptocurrency, has a market capitalization of $1.6 trillion. Ether (ETH), the second-biggest, has $256 billion. Combined, they account for almost 68% of the total cryptocurrency market cap.　　Variational said it has carried more than $200 billion in trading volume since its inception in 2025, and the new funds will enable it to build the infrastructure needed to route liquidity directly from traditional markets within the coming months. Its model is uniquely designed to aggregate and route liquidity from traditional and onchain markets, avoiding the need to build it from scratch

05-22

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