Egan-Jones Maps Where AI Disruption Hits First: Services, Venture Capital, Housing
Egan-Jones, a US credit rating firm, says AI disruption will hit professional services, venture capital and housing first. It regards a broad economic overhaul as virtually assured. The firm‘s Oct. 1 report, titled “It’s Over,” targets institutional investors and risk managers. Egan-Jones notes that credit analysts did not write it. Sponsored Sponsored Where Does Egan-Jones Expect AI Disruption to Land First? Professional services top the list because those firms bill clients for expertise by the hour. As evidence, the report cites Big Four accounting network KPMG pressing its auditor, Grant Thornton UK, to share AI savings. UK filings show the audit fee fell 14%, from $416,000 to $357,000, the Financial Times reported. It also points to IBM, whose shares fell 13% on Feb. 23, the steepest drop since 2000, according to Bloomberg. Anthropic had said Claude Code could speed up modernization of COBOL, a decades-old language used on banking mainframes. Not every analyst saw lasting damage. Evercore ISI kept an Outperform rating on IBM after the drop. It noted IBM already sells its own modernization tools, per Investing.com. Venture capital follows, in Egan-Joness telling. The firm reasons that startups scaling on less capital leave venture firms with less leverage and lower returns. Sponsored Sponsored It suspects few limited partners (LPs), the investors









