Polymarket odds: Syrskyi out by Dec 31 at 88.75% on Zelensky reshuffle talk
Rongchai Wang Jul 21, 2026 08:20 A report says Volodymyr Zelensky is weighing replacing Armed Forces chief Oleksandr Syrskyi with Maj. Gen. Mykhailo Drapaty, though sources disagree on timing and whether a final decision exists. Polymarket odds: Syrskyi out by Dec 31 at 88.75% on Zelensky reshuffle talk Polymarket Reprices “Syrskyi Out” Ladder After Zelensky Replacement Speculation Hits Polymarket traders are pricing a high chance that Oleksandr Syrskyi is out as Ukraine‘s Commander-in-Chief by year-end, with the December 31 rung at 88.75% on $273,927 matched. The catalyst is reporting that President Volodymyr Zelensky is weighing a replacement, and the lens here is how the ladder’s near-term vs year-end odds diverge. Key TakeawaysPrediction: Polymarket prices “Syrskyi out by Dec. 31, 2026” at 88.75% (No 11.25%), versus 65.5% (No 34.5%) for “out by Jul. 31, 2026.”Basis: After replacement speculation hit, the markets year-end removal probability stayed elevated but dipped 0.45pp to 88.75%, signaling less certainty on timing than on the eventual outcome.Timing: The contracts settlement window runs through the Dec. 31, 2026 resolution date; the last 24h and 7d both show +20.7pp with high volatility and a reversal flag. A report says President Volodymyr Zelensky is considering replacing Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi with Maj. Gen. Mykhailo Drapaty, citing