Solana (SOL) has been slipping, seeing a big drop in price and activity. Over the last month, SOL is down almost 40%, and the price is now around $140.54. Thats a steep drop from its 2024 high of $264.
While the price crash was part of a bigger market downturn, investors are wondering if SOL can bounce back.
Whale Activity Sparks Sell-Off Fears
Blockchain analysis platform Lookonchain reported that a whale unfroze 1,366,028 SOL (worth about $198 million) and sent it to FalconX.
Then, FalconX sent 440,202 SOL ($62.6 million) to exchanges, Binance and Coinbase. This looks like a possible sell-off, adding to negative feelings in the market.
Transfer Volume Plummets, Confidence Wanes
Another big worry is the huge drop in Solana‘s total transfer volume. Analyst Ali Martinez notes SOL’s transfer volume has plunged from $1.99 billion in November 2024 to just $14.57 million by February 23. This massive drop in activity shows less investor confidence and weaker network use.
#Solana $SOL transfer volume has plummeted from $1.99 billion in November 2024 to $14.57 million today!
— Ali (@ali_charts) February 26, 2025
In another X (formerly Twitter) post, Martinez also noted that “SOL investors appear to be in a state of fear,” reinforcing the current bearish sentiment surrounding the asset.
SOL Price Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
The 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for SOL is at $175.78, way above the current price. This difference shows strong downward momentum.
SOL needs to get back above this level for any real recovery. The daily chart from TradingView also confirms SOLs bearish state.
RSI Signals Oversold, But Rebound Uncertain
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently 26.07, as seen in the chart. This means SOL is oversold. Usually, an RSI below 30 suggests an asset is very undervalued and might see a short-term rise. However, the strong downtrend could limit any recovery.
Further, SOL is trading near the lower Bollinger Band at $140.32. This indicates SOL is experiencing high volatility and is testing a key support zone at $140. If this level breaks, the price could fall further.
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