Ripples XRP has yet to establish a clear direction after its August surge, with repeated rebounds being capped before buyers can regain control.
The current compression leaves the market at an important juncture, as holding the nearby support could eventually set up another recovery attempt.
On the daily timeframe, XRP is consolidating after the sharp rally from around $0.99 to above $1.50. Since that initial surge, the price has formed a sequence of lower highs while remaining above the broader support structure, producing a descending channel.
The asset is currently trading around $1.37, close to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at $1.34. This makes the $1.33-$1.34 zone an important near-term support area. So far, buyers appear to be defending it, but the rebound remains modest.
If this level gives way, the next important downside target sits around the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $1.26. This area also aligns closely with the moving average and the broader $1.22-$1.27 support zone, making it a particularly significant region for the medium-term structure.
On the upside, XRP would need to recover through the $1.45-$1.50 area before challenging the major $1.61-$1.70 resistance zone. Until then, the price action remains corrective rather than decisively bullish.
The 4-hour chart emphasizes the gradual compression that has developed since the August peak. XRP continues to trade inside a descending channel, with the upper trendline now approaching the $1.40-$1.42 region and acting as dynamic resistance.
The latest rebound from approximately $1.33 has brought the price back toward $1.37, but buyers have yet to generate enough momentum to break the sequence of declining highs. A breakout above the descending trendline and subsequent acceptance above the $1.40-$1.42 zone would be the first meaningful indication that the correction is losing strength. Such a move could shift attention back toward $1.45 and eventually the higher resistance region.
Conversely, another rejection from the trendline would keep the descending structure intact. In that case, XRP could revisit the lower boundary of the channel, which is converging toward the $1.22-$1.27 support zone. Losing that area would represent a more significant deterioration in market structure and could expose the deeper $1.09-$1.13 support zone.
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