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Nvidia market cap surpasses Indias entire stock market

Tech　　Nvidia market cap surpasses Indias entire stock market　　Nvidia‘s market cap now exceeds the total value of India’s stock market, and the Polymarket contract asking “Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30？” sits at 99.8%.　　The April 30 market is at near certainty, down slightly from 100% yesterday but up from 99% a week ago. Traders are almost universally pricing in Nvidia holding the top spot by market cap through month-end. Daily USDC volume on this contract is $55,014, and it takes only $88 to move the odds by 5 percentage points, which tells you how thin the remaining liquidity on the NO side is.　　The June 30 market tells a different story. Odds there are 83.5%, down from 92% just 24 hours ago. That 8.5-point drop suggests traders are pricing in competitive pressures or broader market volatility over the next two months. The cost to move this market 5 percentage points is $13,111, and daily volume is $8,602, a much thicker book than the April contract.　　At 83.5%, a YES share on the June 30 contract pays $1 if Nvidia maintains its lead, a 1.2x return. That bet requires Nvidia to hold off risks like

04-30

WLD Price Prediction: $0.20 Target Looms as Technical Breakdown Accelerates

Technical Structure Breakdown　　Worldcoin sits in a precarious position at $0.25, trading 51% below its 200-day moving average of $0.51. The token hasnt managed to reclaim even short-term resistance, with the 7-day simple moving average at $0.26 acting as immediate overhead pressure. This positioning below all meaningful moving averages creates a bearish cascade where each bounce attempt faces multiple layers of resistance.　　The RSI reading of 40.16 indicates selling pressure remains intact without reaching oversold extremes that typically spark relief rallies. Meanwhile, the MACD histogram sits at -0.0000, showing momentum has completely stalled in negative territory. When combined with Bollinger Band positioning at 0.24 near the lower band, these indicators paint a picture of sustained downward pressure with limited bounce potential.　　Market Structure Analysis　　Derivatives data reveals the true sentiment driving WLD‘s decline. The funding rate at -0.0450% means short positions are so confident they’re paying long holders, creating a strong headwind for any upward movement. This negative funding environment typically persists until either shorts take profits or a major catalyst forces covering.　　Retail positioning shows the classic setup for further downside, with 57% of traders maintaining long positions while top traders hold 61% long exposure. The aggressive buying ratio of 1.46 suggests some dip-buying

04-30

Mass rallies in Iran show support for leadership on Imam Reza anniversary

Bitcoin Ethereum News　　Mass rallies across Iran on Imam Rezas birth anniversary signal strong support for Mojtaba Khamenei, with odds of the Iranian regime falling by April 30 at 0.1% YES, unchanged from yesterday.　　Market reaction　　The demonstrations, framed as a show of national unity and reported by state-affiliated Press TV, reduce the perceived likelihood of regime change by December 31. The market for Iranian leadership change by December 31 reflects this, with odds expected to decline given the apparent consolidation of regime power.　　The term structure in the Iranian regime fall market jumps from 0.1% YES for April 30 to 8.5% YES for June 30. Traders are pricing in potential catalysts over the coming months, but the immediate outlook stays flat.　　Why it matters　　Trading volume in the regime fall market sits at $23,056 in actual USDC traded over the past 24 hours. It takes $4,529 to move the April contract 5 points, a thin market where a few large trades can shift pricing meaningfully.　　The rallies reinforce perceptions of regime stability, though their weight should be discounted against the tier-3 source reliability. At 8.5¢, a YES share for a June 30 regime fall pays $1, a 11.8x return. Thats a long-shot bet unless you expect

04-30

Bitcoin slides toward $75,000, ETH, SOL, XRP drop as oil hits four-year high

The Iran war premium is back, and crypto is paying for it.　　Bitcoin slid 2.1% over the past 24 hours to $75,633 in Asian hours Thursday, down 3% on the week, as Brent crude jumped 7.1% to $126.41 a barrel — the highest intraday level in four years — on an Axios report that President Donald Trump is set to receive a briefing on new military options against Iran.　　Such activity leads to a war premium, which refers to the portion of an assets price driven by conflict risk rather than supply-demand fundamentals. Brent has been carrying a heavy one all year, with prices up over 100% year-to-date.　　The global benchmark is now riding a nine-day winning streak, the longest since May 2022, and is up over 100% year-to-date.　　Ether dropped 3.4% to $2,244 and is down 4.4% on the week. XRP fell 2.1% to $1.37, off 3.7% over seven days. Solana lost 2.6% to $82.62. BNB shed 1.9% to $615. The only green print in the top 10 outside stablecoins is dogecoin, up 3.8% on the day and 10.1% on the week to $0.10.　　Risk assets are giving back gains across the board. Nasdaq 100 futures erased an earlier 1.1% rally fueled by strong

04-30

Maduro Raid Commando Pleads Not Guilty After $400K Polymarket Bet on His Own Mission

Van Dyke pleads not guilty to five federal charges in Manhattan federal court Apr 28.Defense attorney Mark Geragos signals plan to challenge validity of the indictment.Kalshi had previously blocked Van Dyke under its ID requirements, per Reuters.　　The ‘Eddie Murphy’ Rule is Invoked By The CFTC In Prosecution　　The 38-year-old special forces soldier entered the plea before U.S. District Judge Margaret M. Garnett, with high-profile defense attorney Mark Geragos leading the defense alongside Zach Intrater. Geragos told reporters outside the courtroom that he plans to challenge the validity of the indictment itself – a notable move given the case is the first federal insider-trading prosecution ever filed against a prediction-markets trader.　　Garnett released Van Dyke on a $250,000 bond and set the next court date for June 8 for the pretrial conference. Travel has been restricted to portions of North Carolina, New York, and California, where Van Dyke has family.　　Van Dyke is charged with unlawful use of confidential government information, theft of non-public government information, commodities fraud, wire fraud, and making an unlawful monetary transaction. These stem from $33,000 in bets Van Dyke placed on Polymarket between December 27 and January 2 that Maduro would soon be out of office and that U.S.

04-30

Major Crypto Scam Crackdown Sees 276 Arrests Worldwide

Crypto　　Major Crypto Scam Crackdown Sees 276 Arrests Worldwide　　The operation involved Dubai police, the Federal Bureau of Investigation, and Chinas Ministry of Public Security. Investigators found the network used fake crypto investment platforms to defraud victims, while separate European actions led by Europol and Eurojust dismantled even more scam centers in Albania linked to over €50 million in damages.　　Authorities Shut Down Crypto Scam Centers　　An international led by authorities in resulted in hundreds of arrests and the dismantling of multiple fraud networks. According to the US Department of Justice, a joint operation involving Dubai police, the FBI, and Chinas Ministry of Public Security led to the arrest of 276 individuals connected to crypto .　　Of those, 275 were apprehended in Dubai, while one additional suspect was arrested by Thai authorities. The coordinated effort also led to the shutdown of at least nine scam centers that were targeting victims worldwide.　　Prosecutors charged six people linked to the operation, including four defendants and two fugitive co-conspirators. They face federal fraud and money laundering charges in a US court in San Diego. If convicted, each charge could result in prison sentences of up to 20 years, alongside large financial penalties.　　Investigations revealed that the accused were involved in

04-30

60% whale outflows vs rising leverage - XRP at a crossroads?

Tech　　60% whale outflows vs rising leverage – XRP at a crossroads？　　AMBCrypto previously reported that South Korea‘s K Bank, a banking partner of Upbit, has partnered with Ripple for a blockchain-based global remittance proof of concept. The project will test overseas transfers using Ripple’s network, adding to XRPs already peculiar setup.　　XRP 1M outflows rise again　　On Binance, wallets moving more than 1 million XRP made up nearly 60% of daily outflow value on 26 April.　　Source: Cryptoquant　　This was close to the 66% peak seen on 28 March. This group has been dominating Binance outflows at around 56.4%, while the 100K-1M XRP group was at 19.3%.　　Source: Cryptoquant　　Coinbase has been showing a similar (but less aggressive) pattern. In fact, above-1M XRP outflows reached around 33% twice in April, on 17 and 27 April.　　The press time reading was high too, at about 27.3%.　　You cant prove accumulation with just with this, but large wallets are moving XRP away from exchanges again. So, this reduces available spot supply while the price stays weak.　　Derivatives traders are here to stay though!Source: TradingView　　XRP‘s price chart hasn’t yet confirmed the whale outflow signal. XRP closed near $1.3566, down 1.72% on the day. This fall came after an intraday high of $1.4065.　　The tokens

04-30

Samsung Q1 profit beats expectations, starts HBM4 production for Nvidia

Tech　　Samsung Q1 profit beats expectations, starts HBM4 production for Nvidia　　Samsung Electronics reported Q1 net profit of 47.1T won, beating expectations on the strength of its chip division and the start of HBM4 mass production for NVIDIAs platform. The Polymarket contract on NVIDIA being the largest company by market cap on June 30 sits at 85.5% YES, down from 92% a day ago.　　The April 30 market holds at 99.9% YES, effectively pricing NVIDIA‘s near-term position as a lock. The June 30 market tells a different story: a drop from 92% to 85.5% YES in 24 hours. That 10-point decline between late May and June pricing suggests traders see real risk over the longer window, even with Samsung’s positive earnings in hand.　　Trading volume for the June market is thin: $8,602 in actual USDC against a face value of $9,377/day. The largest single move was a 1-point spike. Low liquidity here means a relatively small position could move the price. Traders appear to be factoring in geopolitical risk, particularly the U.S.-Iran conflict and its potential effects on semiconductor supply chains.　　Samsung beginning HBM4 production for NVIDIA points to strong chip demand ahead, but the market is pricing in external threats. A NO share at

04-30

EUR/JPY holds losses near 187.00 ahead of ECB policy decision

Finance　　EUR/JPY holds losses near 187.00 ahead of ECB policy decision　　EUR/JPY edges lower after four days of gains, trading around 187.20 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The currency cross depreciates as the risk-sensitive Euro (EUR) struggles amid increased risk aversion, which could be attributed to the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.　　US President Donald Trump said the naval blockade on Iran will continue until a nuclear deal is secured, dismissing calls to reopen key routes and favoring economic pressure over military action. Iran warned of retaliation, accusing Washington of using coercion and destabilization tactics to force compliance.　　The European Central Bank (ECB) is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged on Thursday, in line with many global peers this week, while signaling that a rate hike, possibly as early as June, may be necessary to counter an energy-driven surge in consumer prices.　　Any delay in tightening is likely to be brief, with investors anticipating a move in June followed by two additional hikes later this year, as fading prospects for peace in Iran keep oil prices elevated and nearing levels outlined in the ECBs “adverse” scenario, according to Reuters.　　Meanwhile, downside pressure on EUR/JPY may be limited as the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains

04-30

NEAR Price Prediction: $1.50 Target Within 14 Days as Smart Money Accumulates

NEAR Protocol has carved out a stable base around $1.36, creating conditions that typically precede measured upward moves. The price action shows resilience above the $1.32 support level while maintaining distance from both extreme overbought and oversold territory. This middle-ground positioning often signals that major players are quietly building positions without triggering retail FOMO or panic selling.　　The momentum picture tells a story of reset rather than collapse. While the MACD sits in positive territory at 0.0196, the histogram has flattened to zero, indicating that previous selling waves have run their course. Combined with compressed daily volatility around $0.05, this setup mirrors patterns that have historically preceded breakouts in both NEAR and similar infrastructure tokens.　　Volume Patterns Reveal Institutional Interest　　The $7.18 million spot volume on Binance reflects selective rather than broad-based trading, with the most telling signal coming from position distribution across trader types. Retail traders maintain a defensive stance with only 46.7% holding long positions, yet top traders—typically institutional players and sophisticated funds—have flipped to 52.4% long positioning.　　This divergence between retail pessimism and institutional optimism creates an ideal setup for upward price movement. The negative funding rate of -0.0017% means short sellers are paying premiums to maintain bearish bets, while the

04-30

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