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US Dollar: Growth data guide Fed expectations – BNY

BNY‘s Geoff Yu notes that softer United States (US) inflation has eased pressure for a more hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) path, shifting focus to S&P Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for confirmation that growth remains resilient. With the Fed in a communications blackout, markets are expected to rely on activity indicators to balance cooling inflation against still-firm economic momentum for the Dollar and risk assets.　　Cooling inflation and key PMI signals　　“Last week‘s softer-than-expected core CPI reinforced the view that U.S. inflation is cooling at the margin, easing some of the pressure on markets to price a more hawkish Fed path. Fed communication was active before the blackout period, but the speakers did not materially shift the policy backdrop. The BoC’s decision to hold rates steady kept the Canadian policy outlook on pause as well.”　　“With the Fed now in a communications blackout after last weeks speaker-heavy schedule, there is limited scope for policy repricing from central bank commentary alone.”　　“The most important data point this week is likely the U.S. PMI suite – not because it will supersede inflation in market importance, but because it offers a timely read on whether activity is holding up alongside easing price pressures. A Manufacturing PMI print

07-20انڈسٹری

XRP Price Prediction: Pinned at the Pivot — Breakdown to $1.05 or Short-Squeeze to $1.12？

Market Context: Why XRP is Moving Now　　XRP at $1.09 tells you everything about where this market stands — and none of it is particularly inspiring. The token has barely moved, shedding less than 1% over 24 hours within a suffocating $1.08–$1.11 range. In a coin notorious for double-digit daily swings, that kind of compression is not calm — its a coil. The real context here is structural: the 200-day SMA sits at $1.42, a full 30% above spot. XRP is not consolidating near highs. It is grinding sideways well below its long-term average, which means any bounce is a counter-trend move until proven otherwise.　　The macro narrative that drove XRP‘s 2025 euphoria — regulatory clarity, ETF optimism, Ripple’s expanding institutional partnerships — has not disappeared, but the market‘s willingness to price it in has clearly faded. Earlier this year, Blockchain.news flagged that despite the prevailing technical weakness, XRP was still being targeted at $4.49 by December 2026. That gap between analyst ambition and current price action is a 300%+ ask from here. Markets don’t move on hope alone — they need fresh catalysts, and right now the tape is not showing one.　　Indicator Alignment: Do the Technicals Support or Contradict the Current

07-20انڈسٹری

Equities: AI and geopolitics pressure global stocks – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank strategists highlight that rising Oil and gas prices, escalating US–Iran tensions and renewed doubts over the AI (Artificial intelligence) trade weighed on global equities. Chipmakers led declines, pushing the Philly semiconductor index into a bear market, while the S&P 500 and Nikkei also fell. European equities proved more resilient, and futures are modestly higher this morning despite ongoing geopolitical risks.　　Chip-led selloff and energy shock weigh　　“Geopolitical fears also interacted with fresh concerns around the AI trade, which meant that equities took a hit around the world. That was particularly clear for chip stocks, with the Philly semiconductor index down -9.97% last week (-1.63% Friday), marking its biggest weekly decline since the week of the Liberation Day tariff announcements last year.”　　“Moreover, that meant the index moved into a bear market, having now shed -20.23% since its closing peak back on June 22. In turn, that coincided with other equity declines, with the S&P 500 down -1.55% (-1.01% Friday), and Japans Nikkei also had its biggest decline since the week of Liberation Day, falling -6.44%.”　　“However, European equities were relatively resilient, with the STOXX 600 up +0.07% over the week (-0.34% Friday).”　　“In response, this morning Brent is up +2.45% to $90.26/bbl after

07-20انڈسٹری

Hyperliquid Opens HIP-4 Prediction Markets to Anyone With 500k HYPE

Hyperliquid has announced a big update wherein the platform is letting anyone build prediction markets on its exchange, as long as they stake 500,000 HYPE first. This is the permissionless phase of HIP-4, the outcome markets upgrade that went live on mainnet on May 2. Phase 1 of HIP-4 included a curated set of markets that the team approved one by one. The permissionless phase, where any builder meeting the staking requirement deploys without approval, is the next step. Builders deploy event contracts into the same slot that runs a builder-deployed DEX, and the stake is slashable and burned if validators catch a builder manipulating the oracle or pushing an invalid settlement. For now, Hyperliquid said permissionless outcome markets will begin rolling out in an upgrade on testnet first and then mainnet once its properly battle-tested.　　Until now the team decided which outcome markets existed. The first was a daily Bitcoin price binary run by Outcomexyz. With this update, builders can pick the events, run the oracle and keep up to half the trading fees their markets generate. Hyperliquid supplies the matching engine and its existing liquidity.　　Onchain Settlement Skips the Oracle Fight　　HIP-4 settles onchain against objective sources through Hyperliquid‘s validator set.

07-20انڈسٹری

Euro trims gains as the Pound strengthens ahead of Andy Burnhams nomination

The Euro (EUR) ticks lower against the British Pound (GBP) on Monday, trading at 0.8495 at the time of writing, as last weeks rebound from 13-month lows at 0.8455 failed to consolidate above 0.8500.　　The Sterling is picking up across the board as the market braces for the nomination of the former Mayor of Manchester, Andy Burnham, who is expected to replace Keir Starmer, who stepped down as Prime Minister in June after only two years in office,　　Burnham, who will become the seventh UK Prime Minister in just over a decade, has pledged in an interview with The Times newspaper to release a 10-year economic plan to “rewire” the UK and improve peoples lives.　　The Pound has kept a solid tone since Burnham was presented as the best-positioned candidate to replace Starmer, as he strived to calm markets, promising a responsible fiscal policy. Investors, however, are likely to keep a cautious stance with the GBP, awaiting the identities of the Cabinets members.　　The Euro, on the other hand, remains on its back foot, weighed by the escalating hostilities in Iran and the higher Oil prices, as the barrel of Brent Crude climbed to fresh one-month highs, a few cents below $90.00 on Monday.

07-20انڈسٹری

Shiba Inu (SHIB), Solana (SOL), Hyperliquid (HYPE) and XRP Price Analysis for July 20: Fresh Week Without Fresh Liquidity

After failing to sustain multiple attempts at recovery throughout July, Shiba Inu is still struggling under intense bearish pressure, with the asset trading close to $0.0000041. SHIB has been firmly in a long-term downtrend for the majority of 2026, as evidenced by the charts distinct pattern of lower highs and lower lows.　　The break from a rising channel that had sustained price action between March and May is among the most noteworthy developments. SHIB fell sharply after losing that structure‘s lower boundary, and it hasn’t been able to recover any significant moving averages since. The 50-day EMA is still above $0.0000045, and the 100-day and 200-day averages are significantly higher, supporting the bearish market structure.　　SHIB/USDT Chart by TradingView　　The range of recent trading activity has shrunk to near yearly lows. Although this might seem positive at first glance, the low volume of purchases indicates that market players are still reluctant to make large purchases. SHIB is in the vicinity of oversold territory with an RSI of about 35, but there isnt yet a clear reversal signal.　　Shiba Inu (SHIB), Solana (SOL), Hyperliquid (HYPE) and XRP Price Analysis for July 20: Fresh Week Without Fresh Liquidity　　Ethereum Developer Consensys Denies User Data Was Compromised　　Regaining the

07-20انڈسٹری

Oil: Disruptions lift prices and speculative longs – ING

ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Brent Oil has broken above US$90 as escalating conflict in the Persian Gulf and potential chokepoint closures disrupt vessel flows. They highlight the end of US SPR releases, rising speculative net longs in ICE Brent and gasoil, and increased vulnerability of the oil market to further supply shocks.　　Brent rallies on supply risk escalation　　“ICE Brent broke above US$90/bbl this morning with no let-up in the escalation in the Persian Gulf. The US and Iran continue to exchange strikes, which are proving to be deadly for both sides. If this escalation goes unchecked, we could return to an environment of wide-scale attacks across the Persian Gulf.”　　“Vessel flows have essentially ground to a halt. LSEG data show that only 2 outbound visible oil tankers transited the Strait of Hormuz, with no inbound traffic. Flows are essentially back to where they were before the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).”　　“The issue for the oil market is that SPR releases, which have offered some relief during the war, are set to cease around the end of this month. This leaves the market relatively more vulnerable. Clearly, theres always the potential for SPRs to be tapped further.”　　“Given the market

07-20انڈسٹری

Ethereum Developer Consensys Denies User Data Was Compromised

Leading Ethereum software firm Consensys has firmly denied rumors that user data or funds were compromised after a North Korea-linked IT worker temporarily gained access to the core codebase of its popular Web3 wallet, MetaMask.　　The security incident, which took place earlier this year, involved an individual operating under the alias “Tyler Knapp” (GitHub username: “imyugioh”).　　The individual was not a direct employee of Consensys, but was instead engaged as a consultant through an unnamed third-party provider.　　Ethereum Developer Consensys Denies User Data Was Compromised　　What Could Ignite $100K Bitcoin Rally？ Novogratz Names Three Factors　　Between March 9 and early April 2026, the contractor contributed directly to MetaMask‘s core codebase, specifically working on the wallet’s fiat on-ramp and off-ramp features.　　Upon detecting the threat, Consensys took immediate and aggressive action. The firm froze all product releases, swiftly terminated the contractors access, and launched a comprehensive internal security audit.　　You Might Also Like　　The company also confirmed that it has notified law enforcement agencies regarding the infiltration.　　Correcting misinformation　　In a public statement released on X (formerly Twitter), Consensys sought to correct recent misinformation circulating online about the severity of the breach.　　“Earlier this year, we identified and contained a threat from an individual engaged as a consultant through a third-party provider,”

07-20انڈسٹری

British Pound: Political stability supports Sterling for now – Commerzbank

Commerzbank‘s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that the Pound initially strengthened as markets welcomed Andy Burnham’s rapid move into 10 Downing Street and hopes for reduced political turmoil. She cautions that the UK faces stagnating growth, high debt and rising costs, and that current positive sentiment toward the Pound could reverse if economic revival and fiscal consolidation disappoint.　　Political shift supports Pound for now　　“Today, Andy Burnham will officially move into 10 Downing Street in London, completing a surprisingly smooth transfer of power from his predecessor, who resigned only last month. Markets initially rewarded this rapid change in leadership with an appreciation of the pound.”　　“On the other hand, the market appears to be betting that the period of political turmoil and recurring scandals that has characterised recent years is coming to an end. Whether Burnham can in fact provide greater stability remains to be seen.”　　“In short: Burnham needs to revive the economy while at the same time consolidating the public finances. In doing so, he is dependent on the confidence of financial markets.”　　“If he fails to achieve either of these goals, the currently positive sentiment could quickly reverse. In the short term, however, markets are likely to grant Burnham the benefit of the

07-20انڈسٹری

Euro: Upside bias holds above key support against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Banks (UOB) Quek Ser Leang sees EUR/USD consolidating with a slight downside bias intraday, expecting moves within 1.1405–1.1450. Over 1–3 weeks, the Euro is still viewed with an upside bias as long as 1.1405 holds, though momentum toward 1.1520 remains uncertain. On a multi-week horizon, a break below 1.1390/1.1410 would target 1.1210.　　Euro holds range with mild upside risk　　“24-HOUR VIEW: When EUR was at 1.1445 last Friday, we stated that ”the current price movements are likely part of a consolidation phase between 1.1420 and 1.1465.“ Our view of consolidation was not wrong, even though EUR traded within a narrower range than expected (1.1424/1.1452). EUR traded on a soft note after opening today, but the slight increase in downward momentum is not sufficient to indicate a continued decline. Overall, EUR could edge lower today, but any decline is likely to be contained within a 1.1405/1.1450 range.”　　“1-3 WEEKS VIEW: Last Thursday (16 Jul, spot at 1.1470), we highlighted that while EUR ”is likely to trade with an upside bias, it is too early to determine whether there is sufficient momentum for EUR to reach the significant resistance level at 1.1520.“ We added, ”a breach of 1.1405 (‘strong support’ level) would indicate

07-20انڈسٹری

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