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BlackRocks Fawcett sees Fed rate cuts unlikely before December

Tech　　BlackRocks Fawcett sees Fed rate cuts unlikely before December　　Nicholas Fawcett from BlackRock signaled that further Fed rate cuts are unlikely. The probability for a 25 bps cut after the April meeting sits at 0% YES.　　Fawcett‘s comments match futures markets, which show no rate cut fully priced until December. The odds for a 50+ bps cut after April also sit at 0% YES. The April meeting’s market is unchanged, with traders skeptical about significant cuts amid geopolitical tensions and persistent inflation.　　Liquidity in the 25 bps market is decent, with $9,464 in USDC traded daily. But it takes just $2,075 to move the price 5 points, which means a single large trade could shift the odds. The 50+ bps market is harder to move at $13,259 needed for the same shift, a sign that traders are confident no major cuts are coming.　　Fawcett pointed to energy price spikes and ongoing inflation as factors putting the Fed in a tight spot. At less than a penny, buying YES for a rate cut after the April meeting offers a theoretical 100x return, but the underlying conditions make that a lottery ticket at best.　　Watch for any indications from Powell or incoming Fed leadership about future rate

04-30

TON Price Prediction: $1.45 Breakout Likely as Consolidation Phase Nears End

Technical Consolidation Creates Opportunity　　Toncoin has entered a period of sideways consolidation that typically precedes major directional moves. The cryptocurrency currently trades at $1.32, positioned between the 7-day simple moving average at the same level and the 20-day average at $1.36. This compression between key technical levels has created a coiling effect in price action.　　The Relative Strength Index sits at 49.41, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram hovers near zero. This neutral momentum reading, combined with Bollinger Band positioning at 0.33, shows TON occupying the lower portion of its recent trading range. The daily Average True Range has compressed to just $0.05, reflecting the low volatility environment that often builds before significant breakouts.　　Derivatives Signal Potential Upside　　Market structure indicators reveal encouraging signs beneath the surface price action. Open interest has expanded 2.04% to approach $27 million, while funding rates have turned negative at -0.0032%. This combination typically creates conditions favorable for upward price movements as short positions face squeeze pressure.　　Whale positioning data analyzed by Blockchain.news shows sophisticated traders maintaining a long/short ratio of 1.38, with 57.9% of large holders expressing bullish sentiment. The balanced taker buy/sell ratio of 0.9977 demonstrates institutional-level order flow, suggesting neither side is showing

04-30

Stable Sea adds WisdomTree tokenized Treasury fund for corporate cash management

Stable Sea has integrated WisdomTrees tokenized U.S. Treasury money market fund into its platform. Stable Sea integrated WisdomTrees WTGXX fund to help firms manage idle corporate cash.WTGXX held $857.64 million in assets and offered a 3.43% daily yield.Tokenized Treasury funds are gaining use in cash management and collateral markets.　　The move gives businesses another way to earn yield on idle cash while using blockchain-based fund infrastructure. Stable Sea said the WisdomTree Government Money Market Digital Fund, known as WTGXX, is now available to corporate clients.　　The integration allows businesses to allocate excess cash to a government-backed fund instead of keeping all balances in low-yield bank accounts.　　Stable Sea provides treasury software that moves, or “sweeps,” corporate cash into yield-bearing products. With WTGXX, the firm extends that service to a tokenized fund that records ownership onchain.　　Corporate cash management gains tokenized option　　The product targets businesses and treasury teams looking for better cash management tools. Companies can access the fund through Stable Seas platform, which connects with existing financial systems.　　Clients must still complete onboarding and standard compliance checks. This reflects the regulated nature of the money market fund and its use in corporate finance.　　WTGXX mainly invests in short-term U.S. government securities, including Treasury bills. Its tokenized

04-30

What next after TRONs 53% activity spike? Traders, look out for THIS move!

Tron [TRX] has been among the market‘s most stable altcoins lately, despite the often bearish market structure. In fact, TRX’s price has been on a constant uptrend since 2021 with normal corrections.　　Its network activity has been surging too, alongside the accumulation trend from Tron Inc. [Nasdaq: TRON] treasury.　　Identifying the surge in network activity　　Active addresses, transactions, stablecoin market cap, and revenue on the TRON Network have been increasing over the past month.　　According to DefiLlama, the number of active addresses hit 76.09 million in April, up from 51.86 million. This was equivalent to a 46.72% hike since March.　　Additionally, the number of transactions grew by 53.76% during the same period, with the number rising from 189.16 million to 290.85 million.　　Source: DefiLlama　　Data also showed fundamentals getting stronger month by month, though the price action did not reflect the same. Historically, an increase in users and activity have preceded bull runs.　　Tron Inc.s treasury buying trend　　In terms of capital deployment into the altcoin, Tron Inc. bought about 154K TRX from the HTX exchange. This amount was worth about $50K, bringing the companys total holdings to $225 million.　　The company has been purchasing an average of $50K worth of TRX for the last three months.　　Source: TRONSCAN　　As per the

04-30

SUI Price Prediction: Dead Cat Bounce to $1.05 Before $0.80 Retest Within 10 Days

The Immediate Setup　　SUI is grinding sideways in no man‘s land at $0.93, caught between a rock and a hard place after that impressive 40% January surge has completely fizzled out. The price action screams exhaustion – we’re seeing microscopic daily moves (+0.42%) with volume drying up to a pathetic $16.4M on Binance spot. This isn‘t accumulation, it’s distribution masquerading as consolidation.　　The momentum indicators tell the real story here. RSI sitting dead center at 48.29 shows neither buyers nor sellers have conviction, while the MACD histogram has flatlined to zero – classic signs of a market searching for direction before the next violent move.　　Key Levels Exposed　　The technical picture reveals a brutal reality check waiting to happen. SUI is trading 34% below its 200-day moving average at $1.42, screaming that this is still a bear market rally masquerading as recovery. The immediate resistance cluster between $0.94-$0.95 (where both SMA 7 and SMA 20 sit) is acting like a brick wall that bulls cant penetrate.　　Current positioning within the Bollinger Bands at 0.32 shows SUI hugging the lower half of the range, with price compressed between the $0.90 lower band and $0.95 middle band. The $0.99 upper band represents the ceiling that needs to

04-30

Nvidia market cap surpasses Indias entire stock market

Tech　　Nvidia market cap surpasses Indias entire stock market　　Nvidia‘s market cap now exceeds the total value of India’s stock market, and the Polymarket contract asking “Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30？” sits at 99.8%.　　The April 30 market is at near certainty, down slightly from 100% yesterday but up from 99% a week ago. Traders are almost universally pricing in Nvidia holding the top spot by market cap through month-end. Daily USDC volume on this contract is $55,014, and it takes only $88 to move the odds by 5 percentage points, which tells you how thin the remaining liquidity on the NO side is.　　The June 30 market tells a different story. Odds there are 83.5%, down from 92% just 24 hours ago. That 8.5-point drop suggests traders are pricing in competitive pressures or broader market volatility over the next two months. The cost to move this market 5 percentage points is $13,111, and daily volume is $8,602, a much thicker book than the April contract.　　At 83.5%, a YES share on the June 30 contract pays $1 if Nvidia maintains its lead, a 1.2x return. That bet requires Nvidia to hold off risks like

04-30

WLD Price Prediction: $0.20 Target Looms as Technical Breakdown Accelerates

Technical Structure Breakdown　　Worldcoin sits in a precarious position at $0.25, trading 51% below its 200-day moving average of $0.51. The token hasnt managed to reclaim even short-term resistance, with the 7-day simple moving average at $0.26 acting as immediate overhead pressure. This positioning below all meaningful moving averages creates a bearish cascade where each bounce attempt faces multiple layers of resistance.　　The RSI reading of 40.16 indicates selling pressure remains intact without reaching oversold extremes that typically spark relief rallies. Meanwhile, the MACD histogram sits at -0.0000, showing momentum has completely stalled in negative territory. When combined with Bollinger Band positioning at 0.24 near the lower band, these indicators paint a picture of sustained downward pressure with limited bounce potential.　　Market Structure Analysis　　Derivatives data reveals the true sentiment driving WLD‘s decline. The funding rate at -0.0450% means short positions are so confident they’re paying long holders, creating a strong headwind for any upward movement. This negative funding environment typically persists until either shorts take profits or a major catalyst forces covering.　　Retail positioning shows the classic setup for further downside, with 57% of traders maintaining long positions while top traders hold 61% long exposure. The aggressive buying ratio of 1.46 suggests some dip-buying

04-30

Mass rallies in Iran show support for leadership on Imam Reza anniversary

Bitcoin Ethereum News　　Mass rallies across Iran on Imam Rezas birth anniversary signal strong support for Mojtaba Khamenei, with odds of the Iranian regime falling by April 30 at 0.1% YES, unchanged from yesterday.　　Market reaction　　The demonstrations, framed as a show of national unity and reported by state-affiliated Press TV, reduce the perceived likelihood of regime change by December 31. The market for Iranian leadership change by December 31 reflects this, with odds expected to decline given the apparent consolidation of regime power.　　The term structure in the Iranian regime fall market jumps from 0.1% YES for April 30 to 8.5% YES for June 30. Traders are pricing in potential catalysts over the coming months, but the immediate outlook stays flat.　　Why it matters　　Trading volume in the regime fall market sits at $23,056 in actual USDC traded over the past 24 hours. It takes $4,529 to move the April contract 5 points, a thin market where a few large trades can shift pricing meaningfully.　　The rallies reinforce perceptions of regime stability, though their weight should be discounted against the tier-3 source reliability. At 8.5¢, a YES share for a June 30 regime fall pays $1, a 11.8x return. Thats a long-shot bet unless you expect

04-30

Bitcoin slides toward $75,000, ETH, SOL, XRP drop as oil hits four-year high

The Iran war premium is back, and crypto is paying for it.　　Bitcoin slid 2.1% over the past 24 hours to $75,633 in Asian hours Thursday, down 3% on the week, as Brent crude jumped 7.1% to $126.41 a barrel — the highest intraday level in four years — on an Axios report that President Donald Trump is set to receive a briefing on new military options against Iran.　　Such activity leads to a war premium, which refers to the portion of an assets price driven by conflict risk rather than supply-demand fundamentals. Brent has been carrying a heavy one all year, with prices up over 100% year-to-date.　　The global benchmark is now riding a nine-day winning streak, the longest since May 2022, and is up over 100% year-to-date.　　Ether dropped 3.4% to $2,244 and is down 4.4% on the week. XRP fell 2.1% to $1.37, off 3.7% over seven days. Solana lost 2.6% to $82.62. BNB shed 1.9% to $615. The only green print in the top 10 outside stablecoins is dogecoin, up 3.8% on the day and 10.1% on the week to $0.10.　　Risk assets are giving back gains across the board. Nasdaq 100 futures erased an earlier 1.1% rally fueled by strong

04-30

Maduro Raid Commando Pleads Not Guilty After $400K Polymarket Bet on His Own Mission

Van Dyke pleads not guilty to five federal charges in Manhattan federal court Apr 28.Defense attorney Mark Geragos signals plan to challenge validity of the indictment.Kalshi had previously blocked Van Dyke under its ID requirements, per Reuters.　　The ‘Eddie Murphy’ Rule is Invoked By The CFTC In Prosecution　　The 38-year-old special forces soldier entered the plea before U.S. District Judge Margaret M. Garnett, with high-profile defense attorney Mark Geragos leading the defense alongside Zach Intrater. Geragos told reporters outside the courtroom that he plans to challenge the validity of the indictment itself – a notable move given the case is the first federal insider-trading prosecution ever filed against a prediction-markets trader.　　Garnett released Van Dyke on a $250,000 bond and set the next court date for June 8 for the pretrial conference. Travel has been restricted to portions of North Carolina, New York, and California, where Van Dyke has family.　　Van Dyke is charged with unlawful use of confidential government information, theft of non-public government information, commodities fraud, wire fraud, and making an unlawful monetary transaction. These stem from $33,000 in bets Van Dyke placed on Polymarket between December 27 and January 2 that Maduro would soon be out of office and that U.S.

04-30

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