XRP Sell-Off Fears Grow as Exchange Reserves Hit Yearly High

요약:XRP exchange reserves reached a yearly high of about 11.81 billion tokens, adding meaningful short-term supply risk to the market.

XRP exchange reserves climbed to roughly 11.81 billion tokens, the 99th percentile of the past year, according to CryptoQuant. The rise has revived concerns about selling pressure.

XRP trades near $1.31, and the reserve data suggests the next move depends on where these tokens go.

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Why Exchange Reserves Matter for XRP

Exchange reserves are the crypto held in wallets controlled by trading platforms. Higher reserves usually mean more tokens are available to sell quickly.

CryptoQuant has highlighted a sharp climb in XRP exchange reserves to roughly 11.81 billion tokens.

XRP Reserve – All Exchanges & Binance. Source: CryptoQuant

The rise came alongside a notable leverage reset on Binance, and the key figures are summarized below. The 99th percentile reading signals reserves are at their highest point in a year.

  • XRP trades near $1.30 according to BeInCrypto data, after bouncing from recent lows near $1.25 to $1.29.
  • Binance open interest fell roughly 15.8% to $453 million, while long liquidations reached $25.7 million over October 7 and 8.
  • Funding rates turned negative on several days, suggesting speculative longs were flushed out rather than rebuilt.
  • Binances own XRP reserves sit only in the 30th percentile, so the broader increase is concentrated on other exchanges.

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During the leverage reset, XRP fell from about $1.52 to $1.29 before stabilizing. High balances expand the supply that can be sold into the market. That has historically raised the risk of short-term volatility or range-bound trading.

Elevated aggregate reserves create a potential overhang, but they do not automatically trigger further declines. The aggregate figure should therefore be read with care alongside derivatives data.

Binance XRP: OI, ELR, Long Liquidations and Funding Rate. Source: CryptoQuantCould Rising Reserves Trigger a Deeper XRP Sell-Off?

The key variable is whether these tokens are sold or moved to private wallets and cold storage. Withdrawals would reduce immediate supply, while deposits would add to it.

Past cycles show that leverage resets have often preceded steadier price action once supply is absorbed.

Institutional demand could help offset excess supply. Earlier spot ETF inflows and large treasury holdings are factors to watch.

Demand from large holders remains a key counterweight. Net outflows from exchanges would strengthen that case if they resume.

Technical analysts remain cautiously optimistic. Analyst Ali Martinez flagged a jump in XRP Ledger on-chain volume near $1.25 support, which may signal a bottom.

A sustained close above $1.56 could open the path to $2, while a break below $1.25 targets $1.00.

XRP Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

Confirmation would point toward the next upward structure. Investors should also watch whether XRP holds its recent range before drawing conclusions.

Upcoming exchange data will show whether reserves keep rising or start to fall.

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