XRP edges higher as whale activity rises while retail traders stay cautious

概要:New wallet creation hit a three-month high and large-holder activity strengthened, but XRP still needs to reclaim $1.10 before the recovery looks convincing.

• The main breakout came at 03:27 UTC, when XRP pushed through $1.0560 on volume of 5.34 million, a 1,433% jump from the preceding hourly average.

• Buying continued through the 03:27-03:53 UTC window, with total volume of 11.31 million as price reached a session high near $1.0665.

Technical Analysis

• The key development is that XRP continues to build higher lows above the $1.00 support area, with $1.0318 and $1.0410 forming the base of the latest recovery attempt.

• The breakout above $1.0560 improved the short-term structure, but the move still needs follow-through above $1.0665 to avoid turning into another range-bound bounce.

• Volume was strong during the breakout window, but 24-hour activity was only 5.95% above the seven-day average, which keeps the broader move from looking like a full trend shift.

• XRP remains below major moving averages, with the 20-day EMA near $1.11, the 50-day near $1.20, the 100-day near $1.31 and the 200-day near $1.52.

• Momentum has improved from oversold levels, but RSI near 33 and negative Chaikin Money Flow show that buyers still have not fully regained control.

What traders should watch

• $1.0560-$1.0590 is the immediate breakout zone bulls need to defend.

• $1.0665 is the first resistance level after capping the latest advance.

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