How Can You Predict These Moves?
I‘m still bearish on bitcoin but the facts say otherwise. As I wrote back in January, there is going to be a move up or down and it’s going to be strong. Well, we had it and it went bull not bear. The point is, investing and trading are about probabilities, and if you know there is a strong move coming up and you dont know the direction, you are still good if you want to play because you can jump on that move. 我仍然看跌比特币，但事实并非如此。正如我在 1 月份写回的那样，将会有上涨或下跌，而且会很强劲。好吧，我们有它，它是牛市而不是熊市。关键是，投资和交易是关于概率的，如果你知道有一个强势走势即将到来但你不知道方向，那么如果你想玩，你仍然很好，因为你可以抓住那个走势。 I didnt because having traded for a decade or two my brain and my stomach lining tells me there is more happiness to be had in investing and long-term positioning than riding the tiger of the short term. 我没有，因为交易了一两年后，我的大脑和胃壁告诉我，投资和长期定位比短期骑虎更快乐。 So how can you tell if there is a big move ahead？ 那么如何判断前方是否有大动作呢？ The answer is, under certain circumstances. 答案是，在某些情况下。 Let me show you what led me to that prediction and how that affects the current situation. 让我告诉你是什么让我做出这个预测，以及它如何影响当前的情况。 Aquí está la tabla: aquí está la tabla： The bitcoin chart can be used to predict big moves 比特币图表可用于预测大动作 Crédito: ADVFN 来源：advfn So the key is volatility. Whatever anyone tells you, volatility is noise and noise in markets is a function of uncertainty. 所以关键是波动。不管有人告诉你什么，波动就是噪音，而市场中的噪音是不确定性的结果。 High volatility means the market as a whole doesnt know