Massive bitcoin call spreads target $72,000 by month end, right when the Fed meets

WikiBit|2026-07-20

Zusammenfassung:Bitcoin traders have purchased $2.5 billion in notional call spreads on Deribit, betting the cryptocurrency‘s spot price will reach $72,000 by July 31, coinciding with the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on July 29 where markets currently expect a hold. The strategy involves buying 20,000 contracts of the $70,000 call and selling 20,000 contracts of the $72,000 call with the same expiry, creating a bull call spread. This structure limits maximum loss while capping upside beyond $72,000, allowing traders to lower entry costs in exchange for surrendering any gains above that level.

Summary

Traders have bought $2.5 billion in notional bitcoin call spreads on Deribit, targeting $72,000 by July 31.
The timing aligns with the Feds July 29 interest rate decision, with markets currently favoring a hold.

Bitcoin traders are betting billions that the cryptocurrency's spot price will climb to $72,000 by the months end, a timeline that lines up with the July Federal Reserve meeting.

They have done so this week with the help of Deribit-listed bitcoin call options, or derivative contracts that pay off when BTC's spot price surges beyond specific price levels by a certain date.

According to Deribit, a total of 20,000 contracts of the $70,000 call expiring July 31 were purchased alongside a sale of 20,000 contracts of the $72,000 call of the same expiry. That amounts to $2.5 billion in notional value, the dollar value of 40,000 contracts, each representing 1 bitcoin.

This is known as a bull call spread, a strategy initiated when expecting a moderate rise in the price of the underlying asset.

Think of it as buying a ticket that pays out if bitcoin rises to $70,000, while selling away the gains above $72,000 to lower the cost of that ticket. The trade-off: a lower entry cost and lower maximum loss if the market stays flat or falls, but at the cost of giving up any gains beyond $72,000.

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